NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Hornets	95		Excitement	4.0 [1034]		MVP	Serge Ibaka (OKC): +5.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	109		Comeback	1.0 [1248]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (CHA): -12.7%

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Frank Kaminsky	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	12	58%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.01	15	64%	0.10	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.02
Troy Daniels	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.01	0.06	7	79%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	0.00	0.05	4	75%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.03	11	62%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Aaron Harrison	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	2	0%	-0.00	3	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	8	33%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
PJ Hairston	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	11	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Zeller	-0.04	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	30%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Singler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.14	0.00	0.09	4	137%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	0.00	-0.04	7	60%	0.07	3	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	20	52%	0.09	3	-0.04	10	70%	-0.02
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.13	0.01	-0.13	9	28%	0.01	4	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	5	62%	0.03	3	-0.03	6	67%	0.00
Mitch McGary	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	8	41%	-0.04	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	14	46%	0.02	5	-0.10	7	86%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.3	25.6	15.6	30.2	2.4	28.5	131.2
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +18.5%

OKC +6.1%

OKC +19.9%

OKC +2.6%

OKC +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	OKC	NBA	CHA	OKC	NBA
this game	14.9	14.2	14.9	95.0	111.2	105.1
season	15.1	14.4		105.5	111.5
opponent	15.1	14.8		104.4	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.6	15.9	12.9	15.6	14.9
OKC	14.4	14.7	12.4	15.7	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron Harrison	7	7	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-19	24	14.3	14.9	-0.66	15.6	14.1	1.49
Tyler Hansbrough	14	14	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-18	22	15.9	14.7	1.20	14.7	14.1	0.62
Brian Roberts	23	23	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.14	4	-18	22	15.6	14.7	0.92	15.7	13.7	1.98
Troy Daniels	33	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.18	5	-19	24	15.4	14.6	0.78	15.1	13.7	1.32
Frank Kaminsky	64	63	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.22	4	-18	22	15.0	14.7	0.28	14.4	13.7	0.69
Spencer Hawes	55	53	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-11	8	15.2	14.6	0.59	14.4	14.0	0.38
Jeremy Lin	58	57	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.02	-7	-7	0	15.1	14.6	0.53	14.0	14.4	-0.44
Nicolas Batum	49	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.03	-12	-2	-10	15.5	14.4	1.12	14.2	14.2	-0.03
Cody Zeller	31	31	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.10	-15	1	-16	14.0	15.3	-1.35	13.6	14.4	-0.79
Marvin Williams	52	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.10	-18	4	-22	15.0	14.7	0.29	14.2	14.1	0.08
PJ Hairston	49	49	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.12	-19	5	-24	13.9	15.9	-2.04	13.2	15.1	-1.92
Kemba Walker	65	63	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.08	-18	4	-22	14.4	15.8	-1.43	13.7	15.1	-1.45

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	78	79	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-6	26	14.0	15.0	-1.03	15.0	14.7	0.30
Steven Adams	57	59	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.16	21	-7	28	14.2	14.1	0.06	15.1	14.6	0.57
Russell Westbrook	58	59	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	-4	22	13.5	15.2	-1.67	14.5	15.4	-0.91
Kevin Durant	63	65	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.08	18	-4	22	13.7	15.1	-1.45	14.4	15.8	-1.43
Dion Waiters	56	57	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	11	-8	14.4	13.9	0.45	14.9	14.9	-0.05
Andre Roberson	42	43	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	3	8	13.9	14.4	-0.45	14.9	14.9	0.05
Kyle Singler	41	42	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	18	-22	15.1	13.5	1.57	15.4	14.6	0.83
Cameron Payne	45	46	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.20	-5	19	-24	14.8	13.6	1.18	15.3	14.5	0.83
Enes Kanter	43	44	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.28	-8	22	-30	14.4	14.0	0.46	14.8	15.0	-0.19
Mitch McGary	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	18	-22	15.6	14.1	1.49	14.8	14.9	-0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 82, SAS 102	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.6,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.77,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.8,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.97,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
CHI 92, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
MIA 81, IND 104	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.77,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.77,0.75,0.64,0.73,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.4%