NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	92		Excitement	3.8 [1042]		MVP	Corey Maggette (LAC): +14.0%
Los Angeles Clippers	102		Comeback	1.0 [1230]		LVP	Jerome Williams (CHI): -9.6%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corie Blount	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Robinson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.00	0.06	9	85%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Fizer	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.06	7	71%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Jefferies	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Rick Brunson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Davis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kirk Hinrich	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	16	41%	-0.00	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Ronald Dupree	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Williams	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	11	38%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Maggette	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.19	0.02	0.08	13	90%	0.17	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.02	-0.03	10	64%	0.09	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	20	43%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	71%	0.04	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.10	-0.00	-0.10	11	62%	0.07	7	-0.07	10	80%	0.00
Doug Overton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.7	28.2	15.7	23.2	1.5	28.5	123.4
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +42.5%

LAC +4.4%

LAC +0.6%

LAC +2.8%

CHI -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	LAC	NBA	CHI	LAC	NBA
this game	14.9	15.6	15.7	97.9	107.4	100.5
season	15.2	15.5		94.6	101.3
opponent	15.4	15.4		106.0	101.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.9	14.0	16.4	13.0	14.9
LAC	12.9	17.9	15.6	16.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Jefferies	15	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.25	8	-18	26	10.7	15.6	-4.91	15.9	15.5	0.40
Marcus Fizer	18	19	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.19	6	-16	22	14.1	15.1	-1.00	17.2	15.2	2.00
Corie Blount	29	28	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.06	1	-11	12	13.9	15.3	-1.40	16.1	15.4	0.70
Jerome Williams	48	51	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.24	4	-14	18	14.3	15.5	-1.16	16.7	14.4	2.32
Ronald Dupree	32	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.04	-6	-4	-2	15.1	14.8	0.30	16.4	15.2	1.15
Scottie Pippen	16	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-7	4	14.4	14.9	-0.51	16.2	15.5	0.69
Rick Brunson	45	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-9	8	14.2	15.4	-1.18	14.9	16.3	-1.35
Kirk Hinrich	44	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.00	-8	-2	-6	15.5	14.3	1.29	16.0	15.3	0.63
Eddie Robinson	57	58	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-10	10	14.9	14.8	0.04	15.5	15.7	-0.20
Eddy Curry	44	44	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	0.04	-15	5	-20	15.5	14.3	1.20	14.8	16.3	-1.56
Antonio Davis	49	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	6	-22	15.7	13.9	1.78	14.3	16.9	-2.62
Jamal Crawford	73	72	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.08	-20	10	-30	15.7	12.0	3.62	15.4	16.4	-1.03

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marko Jaric	77	76	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.01	19	-9	28	15.4	16.3	-0.89	15.2	13.3	1.89
Elton Brand	83	82	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.12	14	-4	18	15.1	18.9	-3.78	14.9	14.4	0.51
Corey Maggette	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.06	14	-4	18	15.3	16.8	-1.54	15.2	13.4	1.81
Quentin Richardson	83	84	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.10	12	-2	14	15.4	16.7	-1.30	14.6	16.9	-2.28
Chris Kaman	51	54	0.37	0.13	0.25	-0.04	14	-4	18	15.0	16.3	-1.28	15.2	14.4	0.72
Chris Wilcox	32	30	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	9	-8	15.4	15.7	-0.36	14.8	14.9	-0.04
Eddie House	17	15	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.04	1	9	-8	17.4	15.2	2.12	15.3	14.8	0.56
Melvin Ely	19	17	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	14	-18	18.7	14.8	3.84	14.9	14.8	0.10
Doug Overton	11	11	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.18	-7	17	-24	15.0	15.7	-0.69	12.8	15.1	-2.31
Matt Barnes	26	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.33	-14	24	-38	17.4	14.9	2.44	13.3	15.5	-2.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 95, OKC 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
HOU 73, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
ORL 61, PHI 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%