NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	61		Excitement	3.6 [1110]		MVP	Spencer Hawes (PHI): +7.8%
Philadelphia 76ers	78		Comeback	1.1 [1237]		LVP	Ish Smith (ORL): -13.7%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
E'Twaun Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	17	53%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.03	9	55%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	10	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	13	36%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.14	-0.02	-0.04	12	21%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.15	-0.01	-0.02	10	20%	-0.08	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Hawes	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	17	57%	0.13	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	9	56%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arnett Moultrie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.03	15	41%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Shelvin Mack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	15	50%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dorell Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	18.3	2.7	29.2	14.8	22.0	2.0	23.3	112.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +48.7%

ORL -0.0%

ORL -2.6%

PHI +2.3%

PHI +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	PHI	NBA	ORL	PHI	NBA
this game	17.0	15.7	15.4	69.3	88.6	104.1
season	15.5	15.5		100.3	100.5
opponent	15.7	15.3		104.2	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	16.7	13.8	19.9	18.7	17.0
PHI	12.1	15.6	17.1	19.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	29	29	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-18	19	16.9	17.1	-0.17	18.5	14.4	4.13
Gustavo Ayon	15	15	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-18	19	11.3	18.2	-6.84	13.1	16.2	-3.11
Hedo Turkoglu	33	33	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-22	27	14.6	18.5	-3.85	18.3	14.2	4.14
Andrew Nicholson	45	45	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-16	15	17.3	16.7	0.61	19.2	12.1	7.08
Ish Smith	47	46	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.18	-20	3	-23	18.7	15.1	3.54	14.8	16.7	-1.91
Maurice Harkless	79	79	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-2	-13	17.4	13.8	3.60	15.6	16.8	-1.18
E'Twaun Moore	71	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	-3	-11	16.9	17.6	-0.71	14.6	20.8	-6.23
Nikola Vucevic	59	59	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.06	-18	1	-19	17.1	16.9	0.17	14.4	18.5	-4.13
Josh McRoberts	62	62	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	0.18	-24	7	-31	17.9	14.9	2.96	14.6	18.4	-3.79

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	71	69	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.05	20	-3	23	15.1	18.2	-3.05	17.0	16.9	0.15
Nick Young	68	67	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.04	19	-2	21	15.1	17.9	-2.89	16.7	17.9	-1.17
Jrue Holiday	75	76	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.05	18	-1	19	15.6	16.6	-1.06	17.6	13.5	4.07
Evan Turner	63	63	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.07	16	1	15	13.9	20.4	-6.54	16.5	18.3	-1.83
Thaddeus Young	30	30	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.08	10	7	3	13.1	17.1	-3.92	17.8	16.6	1.25
Damien Wilkins	13	14	0.16	0.34	-0.18	-0.04	7	10	-3	18.2	15.3	2.95	18.7	16.7	2.03
Lavoy Allen	54	55	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.18	-1	18	-19	17.8	12.4	5.43	16.5	17.9	-1.44
Arnett Moultrie	19	19	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	14	-11	16.5	15.5	1.03	18.1	16.7	1.40
Shelvin Mack	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	16	-15	11.0	15.8	-4.83	16.0	17.0	-1.03
Dorell Wright	11	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	20	-23	18.2	15.4	2.82	15.5	17.2	-1.75
Royal Ivey	34	33	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	22	-27	19.1	13.6	5.45	16.6	17.2	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 86, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
HOU 73, SAS 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.7,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.73,0.79,0.79,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
CHI 92, LAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.69,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%