NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	116		Excitement	3.7 [1061]		MVP	Evan Turner (BOS): +9.8%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	1.2 [483]		LVP	Mo Williams (CHA): -6.1%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	11	65%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Avery Bradley	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09	0.15	-0.00	0.05	23	61%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	100%	-0.01
Jae Crowder	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.00	-0.02	9	64%	0.09	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01
Marcus Smart	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.02	9	64%	0.07	3	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.03	9	44%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	55%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	4	58%	0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Gerald Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	0%	-0.04
Isaiah Thomas	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02	0.01	0.01	0.03	9	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	83%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.09	0.00	0.06	6	77%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.13	0.00	0.10	20	57%	0.03	0	0.00	9	89%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	15	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	6	42%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	17	49%	0.03	4	-0.09	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	24.5	15.3	24.3	1.8	38.3	130.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +28.3%

CHA -2.4%

BOS +8.2%

BOS +15.7%

BOS +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHA	NBA	BOS	CHA	NBA
this game	15.4	16.2	15.1	126.1	115.6	104.2
season	14.3	15.6		103.1	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.4		102.6	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.1	16.0	16.5	14.3	15.4
CHA	16.8	17.5	17.0	14.0	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	62	60	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.10	15	-3	18	15.1	16.0	-0.90	15.9	16.9	-1.05
Avery Bradley	76	73	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.08	13	-1	14	15.0	17.5	-2.51	16.2	16.5	-0.29
Tyler Zeller	48	46	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.01	9	3	6	16.4	14.4	1.95	16.7	15.8	0.90
Brandon Bass	46	45	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.05	11	1	10	14.3	16.6	-2.28	15.9	16.6	-0.73
Evan Turner	59	57	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.06	7	5	2	14.8	16.5	-1.70	15.8	16.9	-1.07
Gerald Wallace	27	28	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.04	10	2	8	15.9	15.2	0.61	16.9	16.0	0.91
Jonas Jerebko	30	29	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.11	5	7	-2	16.4	15.0	1.45	16.6	16.1	0.52
Kelly Olynyk	32	33	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.13	3	9	-6	16.3	15.0	1.31	17.3	15.6	1.64
Jae Crowder	42	40	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.14	-5	17	-22	14.7	16.0	-1.26	15.4	16.9	-1.55
Isaiah Thomas	38	39	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.20	-8	20	-28	16.9	14.4	2.51	16.6	15.9	0.72

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Roberts	3	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-13	14	23.0	16.0	7.00	20.2	15.2	5.05
Bismack Biyombo	42	43	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.17	3	-15	18	15.9	16.5	-0.57	15.3	15.5	-0.14
Jason Maxiell	32	33	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.04	-6	-6	0	15.8	16.5	-0.70	16.8	14.6	2.22
PJ Hairston	33	32	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-8	4	17.3	15.6	1.69	15.8	15.2	0.64
Mo Williams	48	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.16	-1	-11	10	15.9	16.6	-0.68	15.0	15.9	-0.88
Kemba Walker	74	76	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.19	-3	-9	6	16.1	16.7	-0.55	15.2	16.4	-1.15
Jeff Taylor	46	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.11	-8	-4	-4	16.5	15.9	0.59	16.4	14.3	2.08
Marvin Williams	58	59	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.19	-6	-6	0	16.5	15.8	0.70	14.6	16.8	-2.22
Al Jefferson	48	49	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	3	-18	16.5	15.9	0.57	15.5	15.3	0.14
Gerald Henderson	66	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.10	-21	9	-30	15.5	18.2	-2.64	14.7	17.2	-2.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 96, VAN 90	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0	96.6%
SEA 106, UTA 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.11,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
SAS 108, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%