inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 116 Excitement3.7 [1061] MVPEvan Turner (BOS): +9.8%
Charlotte Hornets 104 Comeback1.2 [483] LVPMo Williams (CHA): -6.1%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Evan Turner0.100,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.010.011165%0.1000.001100%0.01
Avery Bradley0.090,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.090.15-0.000.052361%0.111-0.023100%-0.01
Jae Crowder0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.090.060.00-0.02964%0.091-0.004100%0.01
Marcus Smart0.040,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.040.010.00-0.02964%0.073-0.03475%-0.00
Tyler Zeller0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.03944%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jonas Jerebko0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.00260%0.0200.001100%0.00
Kelly Olynyk0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.00-0.001055%0.041-0.0200%0.00
Brandon Bass0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.010.030.000.02458%0.0100.00475%-0.01
Gerald Wallace-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.02-0.00-0.01340%-0.0100.0040%-0.04
Isaiah Thomas-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.020.010.010.03950%-0.011-0.002100%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.040.000.01283%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.030.030.090.000.06677%0.0300.001100%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.03-0.00-0.00560%0.0300.0000%0.00
Kemba Walker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.130.000.102057%0.0300.00989%0.01
Al Jefferson0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.010.021060%0.042-0.0500%0.00
PJ Hairston0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gerald Henderson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.010.041553%0.032-0.052100%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jeff Taylor0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.01642%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.03-0.020.011749%0.034-0.095100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.52.324.515.324.31.838.3130.1
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +28.3%
CHA -2.4%
BOS +8.2%
BOS +15.7%
BOS +0.2%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSCHANBABOSCHANBA
this game15.416.215.1126.1115.6104.2
season14.315.6103.198.9
opponent15.115.4102.6103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS15.116.016.514.315.4
CHA16.817.517.014.016.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Marcus Smart62600.54-0.040.590.1015-31815.116.0-0.9015.916.9-1.05
Avery Bradley76730.460.040.420.0813-11415.017.5-2.5116.216.5-0.29
Tyler Zeller48460.270.230.050.0193616.414.41.9516.715.80.90
Brandon Bass46450.270.230.04-0.051111014.316.6-2.2815.916.6-0.73
Evan Turner59570.260.240.030.0675214.816.5-1.7015.816.9-1.07
Gerald Wallace27280.260.240.02-0.04102815.915.20.6116.916.00.91
Jonas Jerebko30290.250.250.010.1157-216.415.01.4516.616.10.52
Kelly Olynyk32330.220.28-0.060.1339-616.315.01.3117.315.61.64
Jae Crowder4240-0.000.50-0.500.14-517-2214.716.0-1.2615.416.9-1.55
Isaiah Thomas3839-0.040.54-0.580.20-820-2816.914.42.5116.615.90.72

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Brian Roberts34-0.02-0.480.46-0.051-131423.016.07.0020.215.25.05
Bismack Biyombo4243-0.08-0.420.34-0.173-151815.916.5-0.5715.315.5-0.14
Jason Maxiell3233-0.13-0.370.240.04-6-6015.816.5-0.7016.814.62.22
PJ Hairston3332-0.15-0.350.20-0.03-4-8417.315.61.6915.815.20.64
Mo Williams4850-0.19-0.310.12-0.16-1-111015.916.6-0.6815.015.9-0.88
Kemba Walker7476-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.19-3-9616.116.7-0.5515.216.4-1.15
Jeff Taylor4648-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.11-8-4-416.515.90.5916.414.32.08
Marvin Williams5859-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.19-6-6016.515.80.7014.616.8-2.22
Al Jefferson4849-0.42-0.08-0.340.02-153-1816.515.90.5715.515.30.14
Gerald Henderson6666-0.520.02-0.540.10-219-3015.518.2-2.6414.717.2-2.41


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 96, VAN 900.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.45,0.53,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,096.6%
SEA 106, UTA 900.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.11,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.3%
SAS 108, MEM 850.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%