NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	106		Excitement	3.9 [1049]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +12.3%
Utah Jazz	90		Comeback	1.1 [556]		LVP	Deron Williams (UTA): -11.1%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	10	85%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.11	0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	0.01	0.03	16	70%	0.14	3	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Luke Ridnour	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	10	80%	0.13	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	-0.00	-0.05	12	46%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	38%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.02
Mateen Cleaves	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	60%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	22	38%	-0.05	1	-0.00	6	83%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.00	-0.01	7	72%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Devin Brown	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	64%	0.06	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	55%	0.02	2	-0.00	15	53%	-0.04
Robert Whaley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	37%	-0.00	1	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Andre Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	9	56%	0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	0.05	12	55%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	16	37%	-0.01	6	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.7	30.2	15.4	27.3	1.8	29.0	130.0
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +31.3%

SEA +4.8%

SEA +11.6%

SEA +3.8%

UTA -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	UTA	NBA	SEA	UTA	NBA
this game	15.0	16.6	15.6	115.2	100.0	104.4
season	15.0	17.0		108.9	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.8		104.6	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	15.9	13.7	12.7	18.5	15.0
UTA	15.4	18.4	15.6	17.5	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	74	73	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.08	22	-6	28	15.2	14.2	1.06	17.6	12.5	5.15
Reggie Evans	70	68	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	5	6	15.8	12.4	3.43	16.7	16.4	0.37
Rashard Lewis	75	73	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.05	13	3	10	15.1	14.8	0.24	15.8	20.2	-4.35
Luke Ridnour	64	60	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.04	10	6	4	15.1	14.7	0.39	16.2	17.4	-1.18
Vladimir Radmanovic	47	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.03	10	6	4	14.1	16.0	-1.83	16.8	16.5	0.37
Nick Collison	43	44	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.03	10	6	4	14.7	15.3	-0.65	15.6	17.7	-2.06
Ronald Murray	43	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.03	4	12	-8	14.5	15.5	-1.00	16.3	17.0	-0.70
Johan Petro	9	8	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.12	-1	17	-18	15.9	14.9	0.96	15.0	16.8	-1.80
Damien Wilkins	19	18	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.08	5	11	-6	15.6	14.9	0.77	19.8	15.9	3.92
Mateen Cleaves	3	4	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.12	-4	20	-24	15.0	15.0	-0.02	8.7	17.0	-8.26
Danny Fortson	13	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.07	0	16	-16	13.2	15.3	-2.09	20.4	16.0	4.37

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Owens	9	10	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.12	5	-21	26	17.3	16.6	0.77	18.5	14.6	3.90
CJ Miles	15	15	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-21	26	15.5	16.9	-1.33	19.5	14.1	5.39
Kris Humphries	26	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-20	24	18.6	15.9	2.72	13.7	15.5	-1.85
Robert Whaley	7	8	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.11	1	-17	18	17.1	16.6	0.54	16.1	14.9	1.21
Greg Ostertag	18	18	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	0.00	-4	-12	8	13.6	17.4	-3.79	16.8	14.6	2.18
Milt Palacio	30	30	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.04	-6	-10	4	16.6	16.6	-0.02	13.3	15.9	-2.55
Devin Brown	38	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-8	0	14.1	18.5	-4.35	15.3	14.8	0.49
Jarron Collins	61	62	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.03	-11	-5	-6	17.2	15.5	1.66	14.3	16.5	-2.19
Deron Williams	70	72	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-3	-10	17.1	15.1	1.99	15.3	13.8	1.50
Andrei Kirilenko	70	69	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.04	-11	-5	-6	17.1	15.0	2.11	14.6	16.3	-1.77
Mehmet Okur	50	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.14	-19	3	-22	16.7	16.6	0.04	15.3	14.7	0.57
Matt Harpring	56	58	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.14	-23	7	-30	16.8	16.4	0.47	14.5	15.9	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.11,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 116, CHA 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	96.3%
NYK 93, NJN 78	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
CLE 104, MIN 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.21,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%