NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	93		Excitement	3.8 [634]		MVP	Marcus Camby (NYK): +9.0%
New Jersey Nets	78		Comeback	1.0 [543]		LVP	Keith Van Horn (NJN): -23.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.01	-0.05	13	63%	0.10	2	-0.01	4	75%	0.02
Allan Houston	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.01	-0.03	12	54%	0.07	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Chris Dudley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.01	0.06	14	76%	0.11	5	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Ben Davis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Wingate	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charlie Ward	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	150%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	9	48%	-0.02	1	-0.00	7	86%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Chris Childs	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	6	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Ewing	-0.08	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.14	0.00	-0.06	17	39%	-0.02	4	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	-0.00	0.05	2	90%	-0.00	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Chris Carr	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.03	6	57%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.02	12	27%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	15	46%	-0.06	1	-0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.23	-0.01	-0.04	11	33%	-0.05	8	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Van Horn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.24	-0.04	-0.04	14	30%	-0.09	6	-0.15	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.0	2.3	31.3	18.5	25.6	2.7	30.1	134.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +36.2%

NYK +1.9%

NYK +7.0%

NYK +3.7%

NYK +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	NJN	NBA	NYK	NJN	NBA
this game	15.9	15.6	15.8	103.3	83.9	99.6
season	16.0	15.0		97.0	96.5
opponent	15.6	16.6		100.6	95.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.8	16.0	16.8	17.5	15.9
NJN	15.0	16.0	14.6	16.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	64	64	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.05	21	-6	27	15.7	16.4	-0.67	15.5	15.8	-0.27
Marcus Camby	48	51	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.08	11	4	7	16.9	14.7	2.20	15.8	15.2	0.61
Patrick Ewing	63	67	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.08	13	2	11	15.4	17.0	-1.61	15.4	15.9	-0.49
Chris Childs	55	56	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	9	-3	16.3	15.3	0.93	16.1	14.8	1.31
Latrell Sprewell	58	61	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.12	5	10	-5	16.7	14.5	2.19	15.2	16.3	-1.18
Charlie Ward	34	38	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.01	9	6	3	15.6	16.1	-0.57	14.1	16.6	-2.43
Allan Houston	63	66	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.15	1	14	-13	15.8	16.2	-0.39	15.5	15.6	-0.08
Chris Dudley	22	20	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	10	-5	16.1	15.8	0.30	18.3	14.8	3.54
Kurt Thomas	39	40	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	13	-11	15.0	16.6	-1.61	15.7	15.5	0.27
Ben Davis	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	13	-11	10.5	16.0	-5.53	11.0	15.6	-4.62
David Wingate	2	1	-0.01	0.52	-0.53	-0.01	0	15	-15	10.5	16.0	-5.53	11.0	15.6	-4.62

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elliot Perry	23	20	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.12	3	-18	21	14.8	15.8	-0.99	16.5	15.7	0.76
Scott Burrell	8	8	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-12	9	17.2	15.4	1.84	16.5	15.9	0.65
Kendall Gill	57	55	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-14	13	16.2	14.6	1.56	16.0	15.8	0.23
Mark Hendrickson	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-11	7	15.6	15.6	0.03	17.2	15.5	1.68
Chris Carr	25	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-10	5	13.3	16.4	-3.08	16.0	15.9	0.06
Lucious Harris	49	45	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-11	7	13.8	17.5	-3.66	16.5	15.3	1.24
William Cunningham	41	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.03	-7	-8	1	15.3	15.8	-0.50	16.4	15.5	0.92
Jamie Feick	51	49	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-9	3	16.1	15.0	1.13	15.5	16.4	-0.92
Keith Van Horn	71	68	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.02	-11	-4	-7	15.6	15.6	-0.03	15.5	17.2	-1.68
Kerry Kittles	48	48	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.12	-19	4	-23	17.2	13.8	3.39	15.1	16.8	-1.73
Stephon Marbury	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	3	-21	15.8	14.8	0.99	15.7	16.5	-0.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.37,0.35,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 106, UTA 90	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.34,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.2,0.11,0.21,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
ATL 109, SAS 89	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.14,0.11,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
ATL 112, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%