NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	112		Excitement	3.7 [1038]		MVP	Mookie Blaylock (ATL): +19.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	96		Comeback	1.2 [558]		LVP	Rodney Rogers (LAC): -11.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mookie Blaylock	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.27	0.03	0.10	18	89%	0.23	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Henry James	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	0.01	0.02	6	92%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	73%	0.10	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Eldridge Recasner	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	5	83%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	52%	0.02	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ivano Newbill	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Priest Lauderdale	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Smith	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.03	-0.02	18	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darrick Martin	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.00	0.04	9	87%	0.13	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.02
Pooh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	9	22%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Dehere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bo Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	71%	0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	5	36%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Stanley Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Loy Vaught	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	9	55%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Malik Sealy	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	15	48%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Lamond Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.04	-0.01	0.07	6	71%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	9	42%	-0.05	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.01
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	10	35%	-0.07	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.8	1.7	23.0	13.8	24.2	0.8	23.3	117.6
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +48.8%

ATL +0.8%

LAC -8.2%

ATL +10.6%

LAC -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	LAC	NBA	ATL	LAC	NBA
this game	14.8	15.6	15.6	119.1	101.1	104.4
season	16.4	15.8		105.3	102.9
opponent	15.1	16.0		105.8	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.1	14.1	16.6	13.6	14.8
LAC	15.5	17.2	14.7	15.2	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mookie Blaylock	71	73	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.03	18	-2	20	15.1	14.0	1.06	16.0	14.5	1.47
Dikembe Mutombo	74	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	-1	18	15.4	12.7	2.66	15.4	16.5	-1.12
Tyrone Corbin	52	55	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.04	13	3	10	15.9	13.5	2.34	15.3	16.1	-0.77
Christian Laettner	67	68	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.16	18	-2	20	15.7	12.8	2.89	16.4	13.7	2.64
Steven Smith	64	66	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	8	0	15.8	12.9	2.90	15.5	15.9	-0.38
Eldridge Recasner	39	38	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.05	9	7	2	13.5	15.8	-2.23	16.0	15.4	0.61
Ivano Newbill	28	26	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.11	2	14	-12	12.9	15.7	-2.72	15.8	15.6	0.19
Henry James	53	53	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.07	1	15	-14	13.4	16.7	-3.31	15.8	15.4	0.36
Jon Barry	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	12.9	15.2	-2.25	13.2	16.0	-2.78
Priest Lauderdale	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	19	-22	12.1	15.1	-2.97	11.6	16.0	-4.38

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Terry Dehere	13	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-15	14	16.8	15.5	1.32	13.7	15.0	-1.33
Stanley Roberts	22	22	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.10	2	-18	20	14.5	16.0	-1.41	13.7	15.2	-1.45
Bo Outlaw	40	41	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-12	8	16.3	15.1	1.20	13.8	15.6	-1.79
Darrick Martin	52	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	0.02	-7	-9	2	15.1	16.3	-1.18	16.0	13.5	2.49
Malik Sealy	52	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	-9	2	15.2	16.2	-0.97	15.9	13.6	2.31
Lamond Murray	28	28	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.10	-5	-11	6	15.2	15.8	-0.64	13.4	15.4	-2.01
Eric Piatkowski	30	31	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.07	-8	-8	0	15.9	15.5	0.39	13.6	15.5	-1.88
Pooh Richardson	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.05	-9	-7	-2	16.3	15.1	1.18	13.5	16.0	-2.49
Loy Vaught	74	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	-2	-12	16.1	14.0	2.09	15.3	13.2	2.11
Lorenzen Wright	58	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.02	-12	-4	-8	15.4	16.1	-0.69	15.4	13.9	1.48
Rodney Rogers	63	62	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.02	-15	-1	-14	15.5	15.9	-0.46	15.4	13.7	1.75

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.5,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 95, LAC 73	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.0%
IND 83, NOH 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.12,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%
GSW 104, HOU 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.6%