inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 108 Excitement3.9 [1067] MVPDanny Green (SAS): +7.7%
Memphis Grizzlies 85 Comeback1.2 [914] LVPWayne Selden (MEM): -10.8%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Danny Green0.080,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.110.010.05778%0.0800.004100%0.02
Joffrey Lauvergne0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.060.01-0.00683%0.0710.0000%0.00
Bryn Forbes0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.030.010.011054%0.051-0.016100%0.01
Davis Bertans0.030,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.020.00-0.051150%0.062-0.0300%0.00
Pau Gasol0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.01-0.01954%0.062-0.04875%0.00
Dejounte Murray0.010,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01955%0.031-0.022100%0.01
Patty Mills0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.06-0.000.051068%0.042-0.032100%0.01
Brandon Paul0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Darrun Hilliard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kyle Anderson-0.010,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.00-0.03736%0.011-0.0200%0.00
Tony Parker-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.021244%0.022-0.03367%-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marc Gasol0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.070.000.011356%0.0600.00683%0.00
Ben McLemore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.02-0.000.01-0.01643%0.0200.002100%0.01
Deyonta Davis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.000.021060%0.031-0.0200%0.00
Kobi Simmons0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.01650%0.001-0.0000%0.00
Ivan Rabb0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.020.000.03580%0.032-0.0400%0.00
Brandan Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01450%0.011-0.0300%0.00
Dillon Brooks0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.000.011048%0.011-0.0210%-0.01
Andrew Harrison0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01569%0.025-0.063100%0.01
Mario Chalmers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.05-0.000.02850%-0.013-0.0600%0.00
Myke Henry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.13-0.01-0.0370%-0.081-0.0200%0.00
Wayne Selden0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.13-0.01-0.03920%-0.072-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.22.430.014.626.52.427.5127.6
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +32.4%
SAS +6.7%
MEM -0.2%
SAS +8.3%
SAS +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASMEMNBASASMEMNBA
this game14.915.014.7113.786.7107.5
season15.515.4106.7103.4
opponent14.614.5109.8104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.913.415.615.714.9
MEM17.014.314.414.415.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Anderson56580.52-0.020.54-0.011851314.515.4-0.8414.815.3-0.54
Pau Gasol67700.480.020.460.01167914.515.7-1.2615.114.70.32
Danny Green53550.480.020.45-0.2324-12515.414.21.1616.513.03.44
Dejounte Murray49480.470.030.44-0.2625-22715.514.21.3415.614.41.18
Davis Bertans63650.250.250.00-0.22167915.214.21.0216.012.93.08
Bryn Forbes52540.190.31-0.11-0.01716-914.315.5-1.1813.816.5-2.72
Patty Mills49510.040.46-0.410.04023-2314.715.1-0.4313.616.5-2.94
Joffrey Lauvergne35340.030.47-0.44-0.17716-916.114.21.8915.314.80.44
Tony Parker41450.030.47-0.440.20-629-3514.315.3-1.0014.715.2-0.54
Brandon Paul550.000.50-0.50-0.12419-1513.215.0-1.7611.815.2-3.35
Darrun Hilliard550.000.50-0.50-0.12419-1513.215.0-1.7611.815.2-3.35

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kobi Simmons2928-0.02-0.480.46-0.082-252712.116.2-4.0816.514.22.37
Ben McLemore3835-0.03-0.470.43-0.123-262914.615.2-0.5715.314.60.62
Ivan Rabb3231-0.09-0.410.32-0.00-3-201713.815.6-1.7817.513.63.99
Deyonta Davis4440-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-201714.715.2-0.4214.814.9-0.11
Brandan Wright2322-0.15-0.350.200.02-6-171115.614.80.8214.315.0-0.71
Myke Henry4444-0.17-0.330.150.00-6-171115.114.90.2814.215.4-1.18
Mario Chalmers5046-0.18-0.320.140.09-9-14514.315.7-1.4314.015.6-1.59
Andrew Harrison5454-0.34-0.16-0.180.31-22-1-2115.814.01.7815.114.50.62
Wayne Selden5655-0.45-0.05-0.390.35-274-3115.015.00.0114.615.2-0.62
Marc Gasol6060-0.45-0.05-0.400.20-22-1-2115.913.52.3714.116.2-2.07
Dillon Brooks6060-0.48-0.02-0.460.17-22-1-2116.013.42.5914.615.4-0.80


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.3,0.28,0.23,0.24,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 98, POR 790.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.17,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.1%
UTA 109, CLE 1000.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.46,0.41,0.38,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.32,0.23,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,096.0%
BOS 116, CHA 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,096.0%