inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Washington Wizards 95 Excitement2.9 [1193] MVPMarcin Gortat (WAS): +14.3%
Charlotte Hornets 69 Comeback1.1 [563] LVPBrian Roberts (CHA): -8.2%


Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcin Gortat0.140,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.170.000.021183%0.1400.002100%0.01
Paul Pierce0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.01-0.01764%0.0700.0000%0.00
Kevin Seraphin0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.000.04967%0.0300.0000%0.00
John Wall0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.010.011168%0.083-0.0500%0.00
Nene0.010,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.020.000.01582%0.073-0.051100%0.00
Otto Porter0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.060.00-0.071040%0.012-0.0000%0.00
Rasual Butler0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
DeJuan Blair0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Garrett Temple-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.04325%0.001-0.012100%0.01
Bradley Beal-0.020,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.01-0.021644%-0.002-0.0100%0.00
Ramon Sessions-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.050.00-0.03540%-0.012-0.0100%0.00
Drew Gooden-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.02520%-0.0200.0000%0.00

Charlotte Hornets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marvin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.050.00-0.01475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Jason Maxiell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01350%0.0200.002100%0.01
Troy Daniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jeff Taylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.050.00-0.0520%0.0010.0000%0.00
Noah Vonleh0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cody Zeller0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.01-0.011844%0.003-0.04786%0.01
Al Jefferson0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.000.031450%0.012-0.0500%0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.000.03550%-0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Lance Stephenson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.000.02955%0.003-0.05475%0.00
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.03333%-0.013-0.03333%-0.01
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.00540%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Brian Roberts0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.16-0.00-0.08100%-0.0800.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.42.430.515.623.41.624.5119.4
league avg24.62.329.616.026.92.333.6136.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
WAS +44.8%
CHA -4.4%
WAS +0.5%
WAS +8.3%
WAS +0.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsWASCHANBAWASCHANBA
this game14.616.715.1103.375.0104.2
season15.115.6102.998.9
opponent15.115.3102.6101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
WAS12.115.614.916.214.6
CHA15.617.117.816.516.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
John Wall58580.480.020.46-0.112061413.815.9-2.0416.417.3-0.89
Marcin Gortat57560.470.030.43-0.061881013.815.9-2.0816.117.7-1.58
Nene38400.440.060.37-0.121971213.615.3-1.7416.416.9-0.50
Bradley Beal61610.430.070.35-0.131971214.614.7-0.1216.616.9-0.30
Paul Pierce37370.390.110.28-0.171971214.114.9-0.8616.317.0-0.68
Drew Gooden43420.180.32-0.15-0.09917-814.914.40.4918.515.23.26
Garrett Temple34350.100.40-0.310.04224-2214.714.60.1217.915.92.00
Otto Porter43420.090.41-0.33-0.15818-1015.014.20.8417.216.30.85
Kevin Seraphin35360.030.47-0.43-0.20818-1015.913.82.0817.716.11.58
Ramon Sessions34340.020.48-0.46-0.15620-1415.913.82.0417.316.40.89
Rasual Butler109-0.010.51-0.51-0.12422-1815.014.50.4512.117.2-5.09
DeJuan Blair1010-0.110.61-0.71-0.05-228-3016.914.32.5810.417.5-7.08

Charlotte Hornets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff Taylor1090.00-0.500.500.18-6-201413.517.1-3.6014.614.6-0.05
Noah Vonleh1090.00-0.500.500.18-6-201413.517.1-3.6014.614.6-0.05
Troy Daniels1212-0.00-0.500.500.18-6-201413.217.2-3.9815.414.50.94
Jason Maxiell2626-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-221817.816.31.5315.914.11.85
Bismack Biyombo3636-0.12-0.380.260.23-12-14217.316.31.0314.714.50.16
Marvin Williams3636-0.14-0.360.22-0.05-3-232018.915.33.5415.214.21.07
Lance Stephenson4343-0.16-0.340.190.08-8-181018.115.52.5615.114.20.93
Brian Roberts4443-0.20-0.300.110.33-18-8-1017.715.81.9114.714.50.23
Cody Zeller1617-0.20-0.300.100.12-11-15412.817.5-4.7113.015.0-1.96
Gerald Henderson5049-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.02-12-14216.317.2-0.9314.115.2-1.06
Al Jefferson5656-0.38-0.12-0.260.03-14-12-216.317.3-1.0314.514.7-0.16
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist5859-0.39-0.11-0.290.10-17-9-816.916.30.6514.514.8-0.30
Mo Williams6365-0.44-0.06-0.37-0.05-13-13016.217.9-1.6914.015.9-1.88


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 97, DEN 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,096.8%
PHI 95, WAS 730.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.4%
CLE 94, IND 730.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,096.2%