NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	95		Excitement	3.3 [1107]		MVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): +11.8%
Washington Wizards	73		Comeback	1.1 [844]		LVP	Rod Strickland (WAS): -10.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allen Iverson	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.01	-0.04	27	61%	0.14	4	-0.02	10	80%	0.01
Billy Owens	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	11	75%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Todd MacCulloch	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jumaine Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stanley Roberts	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Theo Ratliff	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	-0.01	-0.06	3	62%	0.02	3	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Aaron McKie	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Bruce Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	62%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
George Lynch	-0.04	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.08	-0.00	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02	2	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.00	-0.04	8	43%	-0.03	2	-0.02	7	57%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	57%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.02	6	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	4	40%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.05	14	61%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Laron Profit	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.09	0.00	-0.06	5	17%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	21%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	11	52%	-0.01	5	-0.06	3	33%	-0.01
Mitch Richmond	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	13	30%	-0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Gerard King	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	3	12%	-0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ike Austin	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.18	-0.01	-0.09	9	32%	-0.07	3	-0.04	10	30%	-0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.4	37.4	15.5	26.4	1.6	29.6	141.7
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.9%

PHI +11.0%

WAS -3.5%

PHI +10.1%

PHI +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	15.2	100.0	75.3	101.7
season	15.0	15.5		99.5	101.1
opponent	14.8	15.5		104.4	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.9	16.0	13.4	14.9	14.5
WAS	17.2	16.0	13.8	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Lynch	63	66	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.23	25	-3	28	14.0	15.6	-1.66	15.5	15.4	0.16
Allen Iverson	73	75	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.39	30	-8	38	14.3	15.4	-1.15	16.4	12.3	4.13
Theo Ratliff	62	63	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.27	24	-2	26	14.3	15.0	-0.68	16.0	14.4	1.57
Eric Snow	62	65	0.36	0.14	0.23	-0.13	17	5	12	14.2	15.1	-0.91	15.5	15.4	0.09
Billy Owens	53	55	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.14	15	7	8	14.7	14.4	0.30	16.3	14.4	1.95
Aaron McKie	48	49	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.23	15	7	8	16.0	13.1	2.89	14.5	16.5	-1.97
Bruce Bowen	26	27	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.20	-4	26	-30	14.3	14.6	-0.30	14.3	15.9	-1.67
Stanley Roberts	20	21	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.10	-1	23	-24	16.4	14.0	2.44	14.5	15.7	-1.20
Larry Hughes	45	43	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.17	-4	26	-30	16.0	13.2	2.76	14.4	16.3	-1.88
Jumaine Jones	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	25	-28	8.4	14.9	-6.47	13.0	15.6	-2.60
Nazr Mohammed	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	8.4	14.9	-6.47	16.0	15.4	0.56
Todd MacCulloch	13	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	23	-24	12.7	14.8	-2.12	15.3	15.5	-0.15

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Laron Profit	19	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-27	32	13.4	16.0	-2.54	14.3	14.6	-0.33
Jahidi White	24	24	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.01	-1	-21	20	15.7	15.4	0.27	14.8	14.4	0.41
Aaron Williams	56	55	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-20	18	14.9	16.2	-1.35	15.4	13.4	1.99
Tracy Murray	42	43	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.10	-7	-15	8	14.8	16.0	-1.24	14.9	14.2	0.65
Gerard King	34	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-20	18	14.7	15.9	-1.21	14.0	14.8	-0.83
Chris Whitney	33	34	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	0.08	-8	-14	6	16.5	14.9	1.64	13.1	15.3	-2.15
Mitch Richmond	35	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.21	-15	-7	-8	14.4	16.1	-1.66	15.7	14.0	1.70
Richard Hamilton	51	52	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.09	-6	-16	10	15.9	14.9	1.01	14.5	14.6	-0.06
Ike Austin	29	26	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.12	-16	-6	-10	17.5	14.6	2.88	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Rod Strickland	61	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.19	-19	-3	-16	15.6	15.2	0.47	14.9	13.9	1.08
Michael Smith	40	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.16	-19	-3	-16	15.8	15.2	0.66	13.9	15.0	-1.07
Juwan Howard	61	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	0.18	-20	-2	-18	15.7	15.1	0.65	14.3	14.9	-0.55

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.38,0.32,0.29,0.28,0.26,0.21,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.28,0.2,0.17,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, CHA 69	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.4%
OKC 124, DEN 114	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.25,0.17,0.09,0.14,0.32,0.23,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.9%
UTA 97, DEN 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.8%