NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Excitement	3.4 [1099]		MVP	Zydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): +7.8%
Indiana Pacers	73		Comeback	1.1 [1103]		LVP	Danny Granger (IND): -13.2%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	7	65%	0.08	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.02
Jawad Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.08	0.00	0.03	4	112%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.00	0.04	10	69%	0.10	3	-0.05	12	50%	-0.04
Daniel Gibson	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	8	56%	0.08	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
JJ Hickson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	55%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Darnell Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Jackson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	25%	0.00	1	0.00	4	25%	0.00
Danny Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anderson Varejao	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Jamario Moon	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	9	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.13	0.01	-0.06	18	42%	0.03	5	-0.08	17	59%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	59%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Josh McRoberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Rush	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	14	43%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	48%	0.01	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.02	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	9	22%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Granger	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	0.01	-0.01	23	28%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	32.2	15.7	26.0	2.6	30.2	134.9
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +40.8%

CLE +3.0%

CLE +20.8%

IND -15.0%

CLE +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	IND	NBA	CLE	IND	NBA
this game	15.8	13.3	15.3	94.9	73.7	106.0
season	16.1	14.2		109.5	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.0		105.3	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.3	13.6	18.1	17.6	15.8
IND	13.3	12.6	14.6	13.0	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	75	74	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.24	22	-1	23	15.2	17.5	-2.22	13.2	13.6	-0.33
Daniel Gibson	66	67	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	10	1	16.9	13.6	3.30	13.5	12.9	0.60
Anthony Parker	63	61	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	9	3	15.2	16.7	-1.48	13.2	13.5	-0.26
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	42	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.22	19	2	17	14.6	16.6	-2.05	12.9	13.6	-0.67
Shaquille O'Neal	50	51	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	13	-5	16.8	14.7	2.15	13.3	13.3	0.00
Anderson Varejao	45	45	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.13	12	9	3	17.5	14.4	3.10	12.4	14.1	-1.63
JJ Hickson	48	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	17	-13	14.8	16.7	-1.83	14.1	12.6	1.43
Jawad Williams	46	47	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.07	9	12	-3	17.6	14.2	3.42	13.4	13.2	0.25
Jamario Moon	42	43	0.16	0.34	-0.19	-0.14	10	11	-1	14.5	16.7	-2.22	12.7	13.8	-1.05
Danny Green	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	22	-23	10.0	16.1	-6.09	17.0	13.1	3.88
Darnell Jackson	8	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	21	-21	15.1	15.8	-0.71	13.6	13.3	0.34
Cedric Jackson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	22	-23	10.0	16.1	-6.09	17.0	13.1	3.88

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh McRoberts	20	22	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.17	8	-29	37	14.0	13.1	0.86	13.3	16.5	-3.22
Roy Hibbert	52	50	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-15	9	13.5	13.1	0.43	17.2	14.4	2.79
Mike Dunleavy	36	36	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	-12	3	12.6	13.7	-1.15	17.0	15.1	1.96
A.J. Price	40	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.00	-8	-13	5	13.0	13.5	-0.57	16.4	15.4	1.00
Earl Watson	60	60	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.15	-14	-7	-7	13.6	12.8	0.81	15.1	16.7	-1.59
Troy Murphy	56	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.21	-19	-2	-17	12.7	14.1	-1.38	16.2	15.2	1.05
Danny Granger	84	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.00	-13	-8	-5	13.1	14.5	-1.36	15.8	15.8	-0.04
Brandon Rush	78	79	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.14	-20	-1	-19	13.8	11.6	2.15	15.6	16.6	-1.09
Dahntay Jones	69	69	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.24	-24	3	-27	13.5	12.9	0.54	15.0	17.5	-2.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.15,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.16,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 95, CHA 69	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.24,0.22,0.17,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.2%
MIN 98, MIL 82	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
OKC 95, CLE 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.9%