NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	81		Excitement	4.0 [1004]		MVP	Luc Mbah a Moute (PHI): +8.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	96		Comeback	1.0 [379]		LVP	Tyreke Evans (NOP): -18.0%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexis Ajinca	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.00	0.03	9	73%	0.07	2	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Nate Wolters	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Babbitt	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Jeff Withey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.02	-0.03	5	37%	-0.01	2	-0.01	6	33%	-0.07
Jimmer Fredette	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.05	0.00	0.08	8	68%	0.01	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	16	42%	0.00	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.02
Quincy Pondexter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	8	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Anderson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	11	31%	-0.07	2	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Tyreke Evans	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	7	47%	0.00	7	-0.18	3	67%	-0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	-0.00	10	65%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nerlens Noel	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	10	71%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	0.01	14	51%	0.04	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	19	49%	0.05	3	-0.03	7	43%	-0.05
Hollis Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	5	53%	0.02	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Larry Drew	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	83%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Furkan Aldemir	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	-0.02	7	31%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
JaKarr Sampson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.6	2.6	30.8	20.6	29.6	1.8	30.0	136.1
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +34.1%

NOP -1.3%

NOP -15.2%

PHI +31.2%

PHI +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHI	NBA	NOP	PHI	NBA
this game	15.7	14.7	15.1	85.3	102.1	104.2
season	15.8	14.9		106.3	94.3
opponent	14.8	15.2		103.4	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	15.7	16.7	16.5	13.9	15.7
PHI	13.7	14.7	12.1	18.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jimmer Fredette	48	45	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-26	37	14.2	17.3	-3.05	14.9	14.6	0.30
Quincy Pondexter	53	53	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.15	7	-22	29	15.4	16.2	-0.81	14.7	14.8	-0.08
Nate Wolters	11	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-19	23	13.6	16.0	-2.38	19.5	14.2	5.33
Jeff Withey	6	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-14	13	15.7	15.7	-0.07	19.8	14.4	5.45
Luke Babbitt	12	11	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-18	21	13.2	16.1	-2.85	18.4	14.3	4.11
Alexis Ajinca	50	49	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.35	11	-26	37	15.5	16.0	-0.58	14.7	14.8	-0.13
Omer Asik	38	39	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	5	-25	16.8	15.1	1.71	14.9	14.6	0.32
Eric Gordon	67	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	4	-23	16.3	14.5	1.80	14.6	15.1	-0.48
Dante Cunningham	59	55	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.01	-17	2	-19	15.2	16.6	-1.45	14.3	15.3	-0.98
Tyreke Evans	63	65	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.19	-26	11	-37	16.7	13.9	2.81	14.1	16.2	-2.18
Ryan Anderson	68	70	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	0.20	-28	13	-41	16.6	13.6	2.94	14.0	16.9	-2.93

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Covington	63	62	0.81	-0.31	1.12	-0.13	32	-17	49	15.3	13.7	1.58	16.4	14.5	1.87
Michael Carter-Williams	67	65	0.57	-0.07	0.64	-0.05	21	-6	27	14.9	14.3	0.67	16.5	14.0	2.49
Nerlens Noel	63	62	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.05	19	-4	23	15.1	14.0	1.10	16.6	14.1	2.48
KJ McDaniels	49	51	0.48	0.02	0.45	0.01	16	-1	17	13.3	16.3	-3.07	16.3	15.1	1.25
Luc Mbah a Moute	61	60	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.08	18	-3	21	15.1	14.1	0.94	16.8	13.8	3.02
Jerami Grant	48	51	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.13	-2	17	-19	15.1	14.3	0.84	14.6	17.1	-2.48
Furkan Aldemir	3	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	15	-15	21.7	14.5	7.16	13.7	15.8	-2.07
Henry Sims	23	23	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.14	-7	22	-29	13.1	15.3	-2.18	14.9	16.0	-1.14
Larry Drew	27	30	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.11	-6	21	-27	14.3	14.9	-0.67	14.0	16.5	-2.49
Hollis Thompson	41	42	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.08	-6	21	-27	14.3	15.0	-0.70	14.4	16.8	-2.39
JaKarr Sampson	25	25	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.13	-10	25	-35	15.1	14.6	0.53	13.8	16.4	-2.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MEM 98, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.1%
CLE 95, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%