NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	90		Excitement	4.6 [908]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (DEN): +7.1%
Los Angeles Clippers	105		Comeback	1.0 [1217]		LVP	Darrell Arthur (DEN): -24.8%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	13	56%	0.11	2	-0.04	6	83%	-0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.06	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Harris	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	10	55%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Axel Toupane	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.01	0.05	11	57%	-0.00	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.09	13	68%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	50%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	31%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Emmanuel Mudiay	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.04	-0.04	15	13%	-0.17	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Arthur	-0.25	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.20	-0.07	-0.02	13	21%	-0.16	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	8	58%	0.05	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.01
Wesley Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.12	0.01	0.10	6	108%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	46%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Cole Aldrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	11	52%	0.04	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jeff Ayres	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	67%	0.10	5	-0.12	4	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JJ Redick	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	8	40%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.4	31.6	15.4	25.5	2.0	28.0	130.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +39.0%

LAC +7.7%

LAC +5.1%

DEN -1.6%

DEN -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	LAC	NBA	DEN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.7	15.5	14.9	101.1	116.7	105.1
season	14.9	14.8		104.3	106.6
opponent	14.9	14.9		102.1	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	17.0	15.6	16.5	18.1	16.7
LAC	13.8	15.7	15.5	17.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	42	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	-0.13	4	-19	23	16.5	16.9	-0.39	18.2	13.2	5.03
Joffrey Lauvergne	29	30	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-15	15	17.9	16.2	1.73	18.2	14.1	4.17
Axel Toupane	44	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.11	2	-17	19	16.5	16.9	-0.41	17.7	13.3	4.49
D.J. Augustin	64	64	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.22	5	-20	25	15.7	19.4	-3.66	16.5	13.0	3.45
Will Barton	54	53	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-16	17	16.3	17.3	-1.01	17.8	12.2	5.59
JaKarr Sampson	24	25	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.16	-19	4	-23	19.1	15.8	3.28	12.4	16.6	-4.29
Nikola Jokic	40	42	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.09	-18	3	-21	17.4	16.1	1.31	13.0	17.6	-4.65
Gary Harris	57	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.00	-15	0	-15	16.1	17.9	-1.79	14.0	18.1	-4.09
Emmanuel Mudiay	45	46	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.05	-17	2	-19	16.9	16.5	0.41	13.3	17.7	-4.49
Darrell Arthur	46	47	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.07	-18	3	-21	17.0	16.4	0.56	13.0	18.1	-5.14

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Paul	52	51	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.09	22	-7	29	13.5	18.2	-4.72	16.9	16.5	0.36
JJ Redick	47	46	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-4	23	12.9	18.3	-5.36	17.0	16.4	0.60
DeAndre Jordan	58	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	4	7	14.2	17.8	-3.61	16.4	17.3	-0.91
Luc Mbah a Moute	36	36	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.11	18	-3	21	12.2	17.6	-5.34	17.2	16.4	0.87
Wesley Johnson	49	48	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.14	5	10	-5	16.4	14.3	2.09	17.0	16.4	0.63
Paul Pierce	32	32	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	7	1	12.4	17.1	-4.68	16.1	17.1	-0.99
Cole Aldrich	26	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.04	5	10	-5	18.7	14.1	4.61	18.5	16.0	2.45
Jeff Green	53	52	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.21	-4	19	-23	17.4	12.7	4.67	16.2	17.5	-1.25
Jamal Crawford	35	34	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.04	1	14	-13	19.3	13.0	6.22	17.3	16.4	0.91
Jeff Ayres	6	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	16	-17	13.7	15.6	-1.92	11.4	17.0	-5.65
Pablo Prigioni	18	19	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	17	-19	18.3	14.7	3.53	15.8	17.0	-1.20
Austin Rivers	38	38	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	22	-29	18.2	13.5	4.72	16.5	16.9	-0.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 95, UTA 113	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NOP 81, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
MIL 82, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.9%