NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	95		Excitement	4.1 [969]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +10.1%
Utah Jazz	113		Comeback	1.0 [1186]		LVP	Mark Bryant (CLE): -11.1%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	7	64%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	3	133%	0.10	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lari Ketner	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Stack	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Boykins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.09	4	110%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Bob Sura	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	0.02	11	58%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Lamond Murray	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	10	45%	0.01	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Shawn Kemp	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.02	-0.04	17	41%	-0.04	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Miller	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	11	48%	-0.06	1	-0.02	9	56%	-0.04
Mark Bryant	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	2	25%	-0.04	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.02	0.04	15	77%	0.18	3	-0.08	9	89%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.14	0.03	0.07	9	90%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.03	-0.01	6	77%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Quincy Lewis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	-0.04	3	67%	0.05	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	11	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Armen Gilliam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	6	56%	-0.03	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.12	-0.00	-0.07	7	19%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.03	11	36%	-0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.4	26.4	15.7	23.1	2.4	22.6	121.4
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.9%

CLE -2.9%

UTA +9.8%

UTA +1.3%

UTA +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	UTA	NBA	CLE	UTA	NBA
this game	13.6	16.7	15.2	100.0	118.9	101.7
season	14.1	16.3		98.0	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.3		100.6	101.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.0	12.6	14.0	15.2	13.6
UTA	14.2	18.1	16.7	18.2	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lari Ketner	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-20	22	15.7	13.5	2.21	20.7	16.5	4.24
Ryan Stack	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-18	18	15.0	13.6	1.38	34.0	16.5	17.50
Earl Boykins	34	33	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-17	16	14.5	13.1	1.40	18.5	15.7	2.76
Donny Marshall	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.09	1	-19	20	12.4	13.8	-1.44	17.9	16.5	1.44
Lamond Murray	41	42	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-15	12	15.8	12.0	3.82	17.3	16.2	1.12
Danny Ferry	50	48	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-15	12	13.3	14.0	-0.78	18.7	14.6	4.05
Andrew DeClercq	36	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-10	2	12.5	14.3	-1.87	18.7	15.4	3.28
Bob Sura	56	56	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.17	-15	-3	-12	13.2	14.2	-0.93	16.8	16.5	0.25
Mark Bryant	41	41	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	-4	-10	14.1	13.3	0.86	14.2	18.5	-4.29
Shawn Kemp	58	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.02	-13	-5	-8	14.2	12.8	1.34	15.0	19.6	-4.66
Andre Miller	73	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.01	-17	-1	-16	13.1	15.3	-2.19	16.1	18.7	-2.60
Wesley Person	68	68	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	0.05	-19	1	-20	13.0	15.3	-2.33	15.7	19.0	-3.29

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	76	76	0.58	-0.08	0.67	-0.18	26	-8	34	15.9	20.0	-4.14	13.7	13.4	0.33
Jeff Hornacek	65	64	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.17	24	-6	30	15.4	19.5	-4.16	13.9	13.2	0.70
John Stockton	65	65	0.42	0.08	0.35	-0.07	17	1	16	15.5	19.2	-3.63	13.3	14.3	-1.03
Karl Malone	64	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	3	12	15.6	18.9	-3.25	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Olden Polynice	49	49	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.00	10	8	2	14.6	19.0	-4.41	14.1	13.1	1.06
Adam Keefe	29	28	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.10	11	7	4	18.1	16.0	2.09	13.6	13.6	0.02
Armen Gilliam	27	27	0.09	0.41	-0.32	-0.06	5	13	-8	18.6	15.9	2.67	13.8	13.6	0.20
Jacque Vaughn	16	17	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.11	-3	21	-24	19.5	16.1	3.39	14.4	13.5	0.95
Howard Eisley	40	40	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	18	-18	19.1	14.9	4.26	13.2	13.9	-0.66
Scott Padgett	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	20	-22	20.7	16.5	4.24	15.7	13.5	2.21
Greg Ostertag	21	22	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.13	-5	23	-28	20.4	15.6	4.81	12.9	13.9	-1.00
Quincy Lewis	19	19	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.15	-8	26	-34	20.0	15.9	4.14	13.4	13.7	-0.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.61,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.7,0.82,0.87,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.87,0.95,0.98,1,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 90, LAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.53,0.62,0.55,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.3%
NOP 81, PHI 96	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.6,0.54,0.59,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.62,0.57,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.91,0.93,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%
POR 87, UTA 106	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.71,0.75,0.82,0.79,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.1%