NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	98		Excitement	3.8 [1072]		MVP	Evan Turner (POR): +11.6%
Portland Trail Blazers	113		Comeback	1.1 [1308]		LVP	Kobi Simmons (MEM): -9.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ivan Rabb	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.03	26	51%	0.13	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Wayne Selden	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	14	57%	0.05	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.00
Deyonta Davis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marc Gasol	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	58%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	7	47%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	8	56%	-0.01	3	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Ben McLemore	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.01	-0.01	0.04	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.00
Kobi Simmons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	5	40%	-0.04	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Evan Turner	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	9	89%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	8	81%	0.13	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.16	0.01	0.10	15	66%	0.06	0	0.00	11	100%	0.04
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	16	56%	0.06	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.03
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	39%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Caleb Swanigan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jake Layman	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wade Baldwin IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Pat Connaughton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Napier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	-0.00	-0.09	8	12%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	23.4	14.4	28.5	2.3	24.4	121.7
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +18.5%

POR +8.6%

MEM -0.2%

POR +20.8%

POR +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	13.9	14.7	14.7	98.0	111.9	107.5
season	15.4	15.2		103.4	107.8
opponent	14.3	14.6		105.7	109.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.9	12.3	14.8	13.8	13.9
POR	14.5	14.4	12.3	18.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ivan Rabb	51	51	0.09	-0.59	0.69	-0.17	9	-24	33	12.7	15.1	-2.40	15.2	14.3	0.90
Deyonta Davis	45	47	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.05	4	-19	23	12.8	14.8	-1.96	14.3	15.1	-0.77
Marquis Teague	57	56	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-9	3	14.0	13.9	0.10	15.3	14.0	1.36
Ben McLemore	60	60	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.08	-6	-9	3	13.5	14.5	-1.05	15.3	13.9	1.48
Kobi Simmons	43	45	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.00	-9	-6	-3	13.9	14.0	-0.10	14.0	15.3	-1.36
Wayne Selden	62	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.12	-15	0	-15	14.0	13.8	0.17	14.2	15.6	-1.31
Dillon Brooks	78	79	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.16	-9	-6	-3	14.2	13.0	1.24	14.7	15.0	-0.28
Marc Gasol	43	43	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	0.17	-25	10	-35	15.2	12.9	2.26	13.3	15.8	-2.57
Jarell Martin	61	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.07	-18	3	-21	14.8	12.6	2.22	15.7	13.2	2.50

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al-Farouq Aminu	52	52	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.41	35	-20	55	14.0	15.6	-1.59	15.1	12.6	2.53
Damian Lillard	67	68	0.61	-0.11	0.73	-0.47	37	-22	59	13.7	16.8	-3.11	14.6	12.4	2.23
CJ McCollum	78	76	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.27	30	-15	45	14.0	17.1	-3.05	14.8	11.1	3.73
Evan Turner	45	46	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.40	34	-19	53	13.8	15.5	-1.68	15.5	12.6	2.85
Jusuf Nurkic	48	48	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.32	28	-13	41	14.3	15.2	-0.88	14.9	13.0	1.92
Meyers Leonard	41	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.19	-1	16	-17	15.0	14.5	0.53	13.8	14.0	-0.25
Jake Layman	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	18	-21	18.0	14.7	3.33	8.5	14.0	-5.53
Wade Baldwin IV	7	7	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.39	-14	29	-43	24.3	14.0	10.26	9.9	14.2	-4.37
Shabazz Napier	49	48	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.34	-15	30	-45	15.5	14.0	1.55	12.8	14.9	-2.13
Zach Collins	41	41	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.46	-20	35	-55	15.8	14.0	1.80	12.6	14.8	-2.18
Caleb Swanigan	20	20	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.20	-12	27	-39	15.0	14.7	0.33	11.3	14.6	-3.28
Pat Connaughton	55	53	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.50	-24	39	-63	15.7	13.6	2.14	12.1	15.9	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 94, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
CHI 108, BOS 126	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.68,0.8,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
BOS 97, PHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%