NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	108		Excitement	4.0 [1019]		MVP	Kendrick Perkins (BOS): +17.4%
Boston Celtics	126		Comeback	1.0 [1235]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHI): -12.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andres Nocioni	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.03	-0.04	10	73%	0.19	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Luol Deng	0.07	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	15	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Thabo Sefolosha	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	7	57%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.01	0.06	6	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Rose	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	10	64%	0.07	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Cedric Simmons	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	6	47%	0.01	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.01
Lindsey Hunter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	5	40%	0.01	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	7	56%	0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.12,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	9	53%	0.02	5	-0.15	1	100%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kendrick Perkins	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.01	15	76%	0.19	2	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.02	0.03	18	71%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.00	11	68%	0.14	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	-0.00	9	76%	0.16	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.01	-0.06	6	71%	0.07	4	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Gabe Pruitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	3	75%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Patrick O'Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	62%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	10	45%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.5	27.4	15.6	31.4	2.4	27.2	128.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +30.4%

BOS +0.7%

BOS +21.4%

CHI -3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	BOS	NBA	CHI	BOS	NBA
this game	15.9	15.2	15.5	117.4	135.5	106.4
season	14.8	15.8		106.3	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		101.7	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	18.0	15.2	15.0	15.7	15.9
BOS	14.0	16.1	14.4	16.3	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	44	44	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.10	8	-26	34	14.5	17.2	-2.77	15.8	14.7	1.19
Larry Hughes	41	40	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.03	2	-20	22	14.8	16.8	-2.02	14.4	15.8	-1.39
Lindsey Hunter	20	21	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-16	14	15.8	16.0	-0.16	16.7	14.8	1.94
Cedric Simmons	22	23	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.03	-2	-16	14	15.7	16.0	-0.32	16.3	14.9	1.45
Joakim Noah	51	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.08	1	-19	20	16.4	15.4	1.01	15.3	15.1	0.18
Drew Gooden	11	11	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.14	-11	-7	-4	17.3	15.7	1.53	15.6	15.2	0.48
Andres Nocioni	64	64	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.14	-4	-14	10	16.2	15.4	0.76	15.4	14.9	0.51
Ben Gordon	47	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	-6	-6	16.7	15.1	1.68	14.2	16.3	-2.09
Aaron Gray	43	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.02	-16	-2	-14	15.3	16.5	-1.17	15.6	14.9	0.75
Derrick Rose	42	43	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	0.12	-26	8	-34	17.2	14.8	2.37	15.3	15.2	0.12
Luol Deng	75	74	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	0.14	-28	10	-38	15.9	16.0	-0.09	14.6	17.5	-2.84

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ray Allen	65	65	0.66	-0.16	0.81	-0.22	30	-12	42	14.6	16.5	-1.89	16.1	15.6	0.52
Kendrick Perkins	59	58	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.10	25	-7	32	14.6	16.2	-1.56	16.1	15.6	0.58
Rajon Rondo	58	58	0.63	-0.13	0.76	-0.10	25	-7	32	14.6	16.2	-1.63	16.1	15.6	0.58
Kevin Garnett	48	49	0.61	-0.11	0.72	-0.00	21	-3	24	15.7	14.7	0.98	16.9	14.8	2.04
Paul Pierce	54	54	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.02	20	-2	22	15.5	14.8	0.72	16.6	14.9	1.71
Brian Scalabrine	20	19	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.22	10	8	2	13.9	15.6	-1.68	14.7	16.2	-1.50
Patrick O'Bryant	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	18	-18	14.6	15.3	-0.70	16.0	15.9	0.08
Tony Allen	42	40	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.04	-5	23	-28	14.8	15.5	-0.74	14.7	16.9	-2.21
Gabe Pruitt	25	25	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.15	-9	27	-36	16.7	14.7	2.06	16.0	15.9	0.10
Eddie House	35	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	25	-32	16.2	14.6	1.63	15.6	16.1	-0.58
Leon Powe	27	28	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.07	-7	25	-32	16.6	14.6	1.99	15.5	16.1	-0.66
Glen Davis	25	24	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.19	-13	31	-44	15.4	15.2	0.20	14.9	16.3	-1.36

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.68,0.8,0.67,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.88,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, BOS 107	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.6,0.74,0.69,0.78,0.73,0.82,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.94,0.91,0.89,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	96.1%
MEM 98, POR 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,0.99,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	95.8%
SAC 94, BOS 111	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.65,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.86,0.82,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%