NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	97		Excitement	3.9 [1067]		MVP	Josh Davis (PHI): +13.3%
Philadelphia 76ers	110		Comeback	1.0 [1242]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -7.9%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ricky Davis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	18	61%	0.16	5	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	0.01	0.03	7	73%	0.04	1	-0.02	8	75%	-0.00
Walter McCarty	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	40%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jiri Welsch	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	4	87%	0.04	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Banks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	2	17%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mark Blount	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Raef LaFrentz	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	9	35%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.02	15	52%	-0.02	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.02	-0.03	12	68%	0.13	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marc Jackson	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.01
Samuel Dalembert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	-0.04	6	54%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	-0.04	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.09	0.03	-0.10	18	58%	0.10	7	-0.07	12	83%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	56%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	9	61%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	6	33%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	28.4	15.4	28.4	1.7	28.0	129.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +27.3%

PHI +10.4%

BOS -0.2%

PHI +12.3%

PHI +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	PHI	NBA	BOS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	15.5	99.0	112.2	104.0
season	14.4	13.9		104.7	101.1
opponent	15.8	16.0		101.9	104.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.5	14.7	18.3	13.5	15.2
PHI	13.2	13.0	14.5	16.5	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ricky Davis	62	63	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.21	9	-22	31	13.9	17.4	-3.46	14.0	14.6	-0.60
Justin Reed	0	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	0.0	15.2	-15.17	9.0	14.3	-5.27
Kendrick Perkins	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	15.0	15.2	-0.18	17.3	14.0	3.32
Marcus Banks	45	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.10	2	-15	17	14.2	16.0	-1.72	14.5	14.0	0.51
Al Jefferson	45	46	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-14	15	13.6	16.5	-2.87	13.8	14.5	-0.69
Tony Allen	43	45	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-17	21	13.7	16.3	-2.63	15.0	13.5	1.49
Walter McCarty	47	49	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.06	-1	-12	11	14.2	16.1	-1.93	14.5	13.9	0.63
Raef LaFrentz	51	49	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.06	-12	-1	-11	16.1	14.2	1.93	13.9	14.5	-0.63
Jiri Welsch	51	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.01	-15	2	-17	16.0	14.3	1.68	14.6	13.8	0.79
Mark Blount	40	39	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	7	-27	17.4	13.7	3.72	13.8	14.5	-0.65
Gary Payton	38	37	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.17	-23	10	-33	17.2	13.9	3.28	13.5	14.6	-1.08
Paul Pierce	63	60	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.11	-14	1	-15	16.0	13.8	2.18	14.0	14.5	-0.47

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle Korver	69	68	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	-6	25	14.8	12.9	1.87	15.5	14.4	1.11
Andre Iguodala	85	85	0.55	-0.05	0.59	-0.04	20	-7	27	14.1	15.1	-0.99	15.7	11.6	4.10
Josh Davis	47	48	0.50	-0.00	0.51	-0.05	19	-6	25	14.6	13.9	0.65	17.1	13.3	3.74
Marc Jackson	50	52	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.04	17	-4	21	14.5	14.0	0.50	16.8	13.3	3.44
Allen Iverson	84	84	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.06	13	0	13	14.5	12.8	1.67	15.3	14.1	1.20
Samuel Dalembert	48	46	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	17	-21	14.0	14.5	-0.50	13.3	16.8	-3.44
Kenny Thomas	7	8	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	13	-13	13.3	14.3	-1.00	13.6	15.3	-1.69
Corliss Williamson	44	42	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.17	-6	19	-25	14.0	14.4	-0.39	13.3	16.6	-3.30
John Salmons	30	31	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.21	-8	21	-29	14.6	14.0	0.56	14.4	15.5	-1.15
Willie Green	26	26	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.09	-5	18	-23	12.0	15.0	-3.07	12.9	16.0	-3.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 79, MIL 101	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHX 90, SEA 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
UTA 95, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%