NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	79		Excitement	3.3 [1105]		MVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): +11.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	101		Comeback	1.2 [528]		LVP	Scottie Pippen (POR): -14.8%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	11	68%	0.04	1	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Derek Anderson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	10	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
Dale Davis	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Qyntel Woods	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.08	0.00	-0.08	4	20%	-0.00	1	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Bonzi Wells	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.02	4	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	0.00	10	36%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Scottie Pippen	-0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.03	0.01	5	40%	-0.03	5	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.03	0.08	15	78%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.12	0.02	0.04	9	80%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Sam Cassell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.02	0.02	-0.04	16	56%	0.12	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.00
Joel Przybilla	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	-0.01	-0.06	15	50%	0.05	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Flip Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Haislip	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	0.00	0.07	7	69%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dan Gadzuric	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	47%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	-0.00	-0.07	4	40%	0.02	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.8	26.0	15.6	23.4	1.7	25.2	118.0
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL +27.3%

MIL +10.6%

MIL +11.3%

MIL +2.8%

POR -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	MIL	NBA	POR	MIL	NBA
this game	15.6	17.3	15.5	90.8	114.8	101.6
season	16.0	15.4		104.3	106.3
opponent	15.8	15.7		106.5	101.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	15.9	16.2	14.8	15.6
MIL	17.4	15.4	16.5	20.1	17.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	40	40	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.14	-2	-20	18	16.2	15.1	1.11	18.5	16.3	2.23
Antonio Daniels	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-25	28	10.0	15.9	-5.94	17.0	17.3	-0.33
Qyntel Woods	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-20	18	12.0	15.9	-3.91	17.6	17.3	0.35
Damon Stoudamire	44	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.22	-8	-14	6	16.1	15.1	1.00	18.7	15.9	2.75
Jeff McInnis	22	24	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.04	-2	-20	18	15.3	15.7	-0.37	19.9	16.3	3.59
Arvydas Sabonis	34	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-20	18	16.0	15.4	0.61	18.5	16.6	1.88
Ruben Patterson	38	38	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.23	-13	-9	-4	16.4	15.0	1.37	19.0	16.0	2.98
Derek Anderson	52	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-8	-6	15.6	15.7	-0.10	16.0	19.2	-3.19
Dale Davis	46	47	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.12	-18	-4	-14	15.9	15.3	0.58	16.4	18.3	-1.89
Bonzi Wells	52	52	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.04	-16	-6	-10	15.7	15.5	0.19	16.1	19.1	-3.01
Scottie Pippen	43	44	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.07	-14	-8	-6	15.1	16.1	-1.00	15.9	18.7	-2.75
Rasheed Wallace	52	52	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	0.05	-22	0	-22	15.2	16.2	-1.01	16.5	18.5	-2.02

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Cassell	69	66	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.36	29	-7	36	17.2	17.8	-0.68	15.5	16.0	-0.59
Tim Thomas	59	58	0.48	0.01	0.47	-0.16	22	0	22	16.5	18.9	-2.32	15.8	15.2	0.53
Anthony Mason	70	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.17	22	0	22	17.6	16.1	1.50	16.2	13.3	2.93
Ray Allen	60	63	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	8	6	16.7	18.6	-1.85	15.8	15.0	0.83
Dan Gadzuric	52	51	0.41	0.09	0.31	-0.09	17	5	12	16.6	18.3	-1.64	15.2	16.1	-0.88
Joel Przybilla	36	36	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.05	5	17	-12	18.3	16.6	1.64	16.1	15.2	0.88
Michael Redd	42	40	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	19	-16	18.7	16.0	2.65	15.5	15.7	-0.13
Kevin Ollie	40	41	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.00	2	20	-18	17.5	17.1	0.45	15.8	15.4	0.35
Flip Murray	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	25	-28	17.0	17.3	-0.33	10.0	15.9	-5.94
Marcus Haislip	7	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.03	-1	23	-24	17.7	17.3	0.44	10.0	16.0	-6.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.92,0.91,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 97, PHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
UTA 95, TOR 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
SAC 94, UTA 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.61,0.5,0.59,0.74,0.78,0.85,0.84,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%