NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	95		Excitement	4.0 [979]		MVP	Vince Carter (TOR): +5.3%
Toronto Raptors	103		Comeback	1.0 [640]		LVP	Danny Manning (UTA): -7.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donyell Marshall	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	0.00	0.03	18	65%	0.09	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03	0.05	0.01	0.03	6	69%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	56%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
John Stockton	0.00	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	12	48%	0.04	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
David Benoit	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.01	12	83%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	4	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Starks	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	11	32%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	12	48%	-0.00	2	-0.06	1	0%	-0.02
Danny Manning	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	30	51%	0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	12	54%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	0.01	0.03	8	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	-0.06	6	62%	0.05	2	-0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	11	45%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Oakley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	9	44%	0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kornel David	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.00
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	5	40%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Corbin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.3	24.9	15.0	26.3	2.4	29.2	121.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +37.6%

UTA -2.6%

TOR +6.3%

TOR +10.1%

UTA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	TOR	NBA	UTA	TOR	NBA
this game	15.3	16.0	15.5	104.4	110.8	100.9
season	16.0	15.8		105.3	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.5		101.6	100.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.3	16.3	16.4	13.4	15.3
TOR	16.0	14.4	15.7	17.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donyell Marshall	50	50	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.41	14	-22	36	14.6	16.3	-1.73	17.1	14.7	2.43
Quincy Lewis	12	12	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	-0.15	4	-12	16	13.6	15.6	-2.02	13.6	16.3	-2.73
Jacque Vaughn	48	48	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.36	11	-19	30	13.7	17.2	-3.54	17.5	14.3	3.27
David Benoit	37	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-17	26	13.7	16.5	-2.76	17.4	14.9	2.48
Danny Manning	36	36	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-9	10	17.0	14.2	2.79	17.3	15.1	2.20
DeShawn Stevenson	33	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.22	1	-9	10	14.0	16.1	-2.06	16.5	15.7	0.88
Greg Ostertag	20	22	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.07	-9	1	-10	16.7	15.0	1.74	13.5	16.7	-3.16
Olden Polynice	35	35	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	2	-12	16.5	14.6	1.91	15.8	16.1	-0.30
John Starks	41	43	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.00	-11	3	-14	16.5	14.4	2.09	15.1	16.7	-1.56
Karl Malone	50	52	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.03	-15	7	-22	14.7	16.1	-1.42	15.5	16.5	-0.95
Bryon Russell	44	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.08	-17	9	-26	16.7	14.1	2.60	14.6	17.2	-2.67
John Stockton	49	52	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	10	-28	16.2	14.4	1.83	15.1	17.1	-2.04

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Vince Carter	77	75	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.08	16	-8	24	16.4	13.9	2.51	15.8	13.4	2.39
Corliss Williamson	40	39	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.09	20	-12	32	15.1	16.6	-1.46	16.1	14.8	1.33
Antonio Davis	61	61	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	-8	24	16.0	15.8	0.27	16.3	13.4	2.85
Charles Oakley	72	71	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.08	13	-5	18	15.8	16.3	-0.49	15.4	15.0	0.37
Alvin Williams	44	43	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.19	-2	10	-12	15.4	16.5	-1.08	14.3	16.2	-1.92
Kevin Willis	37	35	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.15	-4	12	-16	16.2	15.8	0.48	14.3	16.0	-1.62
Mark Jackson	26	26	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.06	-1	9	-10	17.2	15.5	1.71	16.2	15.0	1.14
Dell Curry	48	48	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.36	-12	20	-32	17.0	14.9	2.11	14.8	16.0	-1.21
Michael Stewart	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	10	-12	7.0	16.2	-9.15	8.0	15.5	-7.51
Kornel David	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	13	-18	10.6	16.3	-5.66	7.5	15.7	-8.20
Tyrone Corbin	30	29	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.24	-10	18	-28	15.5	16.2	-0.63	14.8	15.6	-0.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.78,0.85,0.87,0.91,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 80, MIN 112	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.63,0.71,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MEM 79, IND 95	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.7,0.7,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.83,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
LAL 93, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.0%