NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	93		Excitement	4.5 [904]		MVP	Alex Abrines (OKC): +15.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	110		Comeback	1.1 [1228]		LVP	Nick Young (LAL): -9.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell	0.03	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	26	53%	0.10	4	-0.07	3	67%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	9	55%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Corey Brewer	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	4	50%	0.01	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luol Deng	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	9	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.10	0.00	-0.05	17	39%	0.00	3	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Brandon Ingram	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	12	38%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.03
Julius Randle	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.00	-0.01	0.04	12	50%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.01	0.00	9	17%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.02	0.01	13	73%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	13	54%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	0.00	0.09	9	95%	0.09	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	7	60%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	13	46%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.05	8	44%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Semaj Christon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.08	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.20	0.00	-0.13	12	17%	-0.04	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.12,-0.16,-0.13,-0.1,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.16	0.01	-0.06	18	38%	0.02	6	-0.11	9	89%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	31.2	15.0	25.1	2.5	25.2	124.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +29.7%

OKC +16.4%

OKC +5.0%

LAL -3.7%

OKC +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	OKC	NBA	LAL	OKC	NBA
this game	13.6	13.8	14.8	89.4	103.8	107.7
season	14.5	14.0		104.8	107.0
opponent	15.1	14.4		106.7	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.7	13.1	14.0	13.8	13.6
OKC	13.0	13.1	13.1	16.1	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Luol Deng	38	38	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.23	8	-25	33	13.3	13.8	-0.52	15.0	13.1	1.94
Corey Brewer	8	8	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.00	0	-17	17	16.0	13.4	2.55	15.6	13.6	1.99
Jordan Clarkson	61	62	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-18	19	13.6	13.7	-0.01	14.9	12.2	2.74
Ivica Zubac	56	59	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-19	21	14.3	12.9	1.43	13.8	13.8	-0.05
Larry Nance Jr.	52	53	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.10	-4	-13	9	13.8	13.5	0.25	14.8	12.8	2.06
Julius Randle	63	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.20	-17	0	-17	13.9	13.3	0.54	13.4	14.4	-0.95
Tarik Black	32	32	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.13	-15	-2	-13	12.9	14.0	-1.07	12.5	14.3	-1.79
Nick Young	48	48	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.10	-18	1	-19	13.0	14.2	-1.27	12.5	14.8	-2.27
D'Angelo Russell	81	82	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	2	-21	13.4	14.6	-1.18	12.8	17.0	-4.21
Brandon Ingram	81	84	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	0.13	-23	6	-29	13.8	13.0	0.83	14.0	13.0	0.93

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Roberson	64	64	0.66	-0.16	0.82	-0.34	34	-17	51	13.4	14.4	-0.95	14.3	12.6	1.66
Domantas Sabonis	54	50	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.25	27	-10	37	12.6	15.0	-2.46	14.3	13.0	1.26
Alex Abrines	67	65	0.52	-0.02	0.53	-0.22	25	-8	33	12.9	15.3	-2.37	13.4	14.1	-0.77
Steven Adams	71	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.21	24	-7	31	12.9	15.5	-2.54	13.5	14.0	-0.57
Russell Westbrook	81	81	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.10	19	-2	21	12.9	16.7	-3.84	13.4	14.6	-1.18
Semaj Christon	25	23	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	19	-21	16.7	12.9	3.84	14.6	13.4	1.18
Enes Kanter	41	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.23	-8	25	-33	14.5	13.3	1.19	13.7	13.6	0.04
Taj Gibson	43	44	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	24	-31	15.8	12.4	3.46	13.9	13.5	0.38
Doug McDermott	39	39	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.22	-8	25	-33	15.3	12.9	2.37	14.1	13.4	0.77
Jerami Grant	45	44	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.37	-19	36	-55	14.5	13.3	1.19	12.0	14.8	-2.81

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 90, LAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.6%
MIL 93, PHX 109	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.5%
IND 77, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.64,0.56,0.67,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.91,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%