NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	90		Excitement	3.9 [1019]		MVP	Kobe Bryant (LAL): +10.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	100		Comeback	1.1 [1275]		LVP	Wilson Chandler (NYK): -13.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	11	65%	0.06	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
David Lee	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	8	65%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Danilo Gallinari	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	10	55%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.07	0.00	0.07	8	75%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hill	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	4	70%	-0.00	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Al Harrington	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.00	-0.05	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eddy Curry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	9	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Duhon	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	9	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Wilson Chandler	-0.14	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.03	0.01	20	34%	-0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.14	0.02	0.06	20	72%	0.14	4	-0.04	7	71%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.00	8	63%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	9	58%	0.06	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Andrew Bynum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.05	14	52%	0.01	4	-0.00	5	100%	0.00
Adam Morrison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	3	0%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	33%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	8	31%	-0.04	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	0.01	0.03	13	61%	0.07	6	-0.14	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	2.4	29.2	16.6	24.0	1.5	31.6	126.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.7%

LAL +5.6%

LAL +22.3%

NYK -13.3%

NYK -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	13.5	14.9	15.3	89.1	98.0	106.0
season	14.7	15.7		105.9	107.9
opponent	15.1	15.5		103.0	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.1	14.0	14.0	14.1	13.5
LAL	14.1	12.1	16.0	17.8	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hill	29	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.37	12	-22	34	14.2	13.2	0.94	17.3	13.8	3.44
Eddy Curry	14	13	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-8	6	13.5	13.5	-0.01	13.2	15.1	-1.96
Toney Douglas	31	32	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.27	8	-18	26	14.5	13.1	1.41	17.0	13.9	3.16
Jared Jeffries	39	40	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-8	6	13.0	13.8	-0.78	15.6	14.4	1.21
Al Harrington	46	46	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.18	-9	-1	-8	13.3	13.7	-0.33	15.1	14.7	0.37
Nate Robinson	52	53	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-10	10	14.0	13.0	0.98	16.2	13.4	2.80
Larry Hughes	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.01	-10	0	-10	13.0	14.0	-0.98	13.4	16.2	-2.80
David Lee	46	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	2	-14	13.3	13.6	-0.29	13.3	16.2	-2.88
Wilson Chandler	73	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.25	-6	-4	-2	13.9	12.4	1.59	14.4	16.0	-1.62
Chris Duhon	56	57	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	6	-22	13.0	14.2	-1.21	14.0	15.9	-1.88
Danilo Gallinari	70	69	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.18	-13	3	-16	13.3	14.1	-0.81	14.8	15.1	-0.34

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kobe Bryant	87	87	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.14	25	-15	40	14.3	18.2	-3.91	13.8	11.9	1.83
Metta World Peace	78	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.01	17	-7	24	14.4	16.2	-1.76	13.7	12.9	0.82
Derek Fisher	62	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.10	21	-11	32	14.0	16.2	-2.16	13.0	14.2	-1.15
Pau Gasol	62	61	0.51	-0.01	0.52	-0.10	21	-11	32	14.0	16.2	-2.16	13.0	14.2	-1.15
Andrew Bynum	67	67	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.23	3	7	-4	15.3	14.1	1.23	14.0	12.6	1.43
Lamar Odom	67	66	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	10	-10	14.8	15.0	-0.21	13.0	14.5	-1.54
Sasha Vujacic	18	16	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.22	-7	17	-24	17.4	14.3	3.07	11.7	13.8	-2.16
Adam Morrison	16	15	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.44	-15	25	-40	19.3	14.0	5.28	14.3	13.4	0.89
Jordan Farmar	25	26	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	14	-18	15.4	14.7	0.71	15.3	12.9	2.38
Shannon Brown	28	28	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.22	-11	21	-32	16.1	14.4	1.67	13.3	13.6	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.61,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, OKC 110	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.91,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.6%
IND 83, MIA 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.88,0.88,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
SEA 88, NJN 101	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.75,0.8,0.83,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%