NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	90		Excitement	3.7 [1075]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +11.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	116		Comeback	1.0 [1179]		LVP	Donnell Harvey (PHX): -6.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	14	75%	0.17	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cezary Trybanski	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	8	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.00
Shawn Marion	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	17	53%	0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	7	62%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Stephon Marbury	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.16	0.03	-0.11	21	37%	0.02	4	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Anfernee Hardaway	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Donnell Harvey	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	1	50%	-0.01	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.03	0.03	13	73%	0.11	3	-0.04	4	75%	0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.03	-0.04	12	46%	0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	13	63%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	5	83%	0.05	3	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Jerome James	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	8	65%	0.07	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	5	62%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Richie Frahm	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	8	44%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	26.1	15.7	24.5	2.0	27.2	121.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +39.0%

SEA +4.8%

PHX -0.1%

SEA +4.7%

SEA +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SEA	NBA	PHX	SEA	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.7	93.8	120.8	100.5
season	14.6	15.6		99.6	105.0
opponent	15.7	15.9		105.9	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.5	15.0	15.4	14.3	15.1
SEA	15.2	15.7	12.8	16.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cezary Trybanski	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-25	24	10.5	15.3	-4.76	24.2	14.4	9.77
Casey Jacobsen	50	51	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.17	-7	-19	12	15.1	15.0	0.12	14.8	15.1	-0.37
Leandro Barbosa	38	37	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.20	-8	-18	10	14.3	15.6	-1.28	14.9	14.9	0.01
Donnell Harvey	27	29	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.18	-10	-16	6	15.2	15.0	0.22	16.8	14.1	2.71
Jake Voskuhl	51	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.03	-5	-21	16	15.4	14.7	0.75	14.9	15.0	-0.08
Jahidi White	22	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	-15	4	15.4	15.0	0.45	13.0	15.5	-2.57
Joe Johnson	82	83	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.23	-23	-3	-20	15.4	13.1	2.33	15.5	11.5	4.02
Anfernee Hardaway	49	48	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.07	-19	-7	-12	14.7	15.4	-0.67	14.8	15.1	-0.29
Shawn Marion	85	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.15	-22	-4	-18	15.1	15.0	0.07	14.3	19.7	-5.41
Stephon Marbury	72	71	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	0.20	-24	-2	-22	15.1	15.0	0.14	14.5	16.2	-1.76

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rashard Lewis	79	79	0.53	-0.03	0.56	-0.20	25	1	24	14.8	15.7	-0.93	15.1	14.9	0.15
Vladimir Radmanovic	54	54	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.17	22	4	18	14.9	15.0	-0.11	14.6	15.6	-0.95
Jerome James	42	41	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.14	20	6	14	15.2	14.7	0.53	15.0	15.1	-0.15
Luke Ridnour	52	50	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.11	18	8	10	15.6	14.2	1.35	14.8	15.3	-0.46
Antonio Daniels	49	50	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.18	9	17	-8	15.2	14.6	0.59	14.9	15.2	-0.30
Richie Frahm	47	47	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.19	9	17	-8	14.9	15.0	-0.17	14.9	15.2	-0.37
Ronald Murray	53	53	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.07	5	21	-16	15.1	14.7	0.43	15.6	14.3	1.29
Calvin Booth	40	41	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.15	4	22	-18	14.1	15.5	-1.44	15.7	14.6	1.13
Reggie Evans	15	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	30	-34	16.3	14.7	1.58	17.4	14.6	2.77

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.78,0.84,0.85,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 97, PHI 110	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.67,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.81,0.88,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
NJN 86, SAS 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.74,0.67,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%
GSW 78, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%