inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Golden State Warriors 78 Excitement3.8 [632] MVPRay Allen (MIL): +9.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 106 Comeback1.2 [669] LVPTony Delk (GSW): -19.1%


Golden State Warriors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Adonal Foyle0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.010.02580%0.0310.0000%0.00
Duane Ferrell0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04325%0.0000.002100%0.00
Felton Spencer0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05137%0.0000.00650%0.00
Chris Mills-0.000,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.01-0.001150%0.021-0.0200%0.00
John Starks-0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.050.00-0.041647%0.053-0.062100%0.00
Antawn Jamison-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.090.01-0.061048%0.023-0.04967%-0.01
Bimbo Coles-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.04125%-0.022-0.01250%-0.00
Terry Cummings-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.06-0.01-0.02937%-0.0500.00650%-0.05
Erick Dampier-0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.060.00-0.01217%-0.031-0.02250%-0.01
Donyell Marshall-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.03644%-0.033-0.04475%-0.00
Jason Caffey-0.100,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.020.00714%-0.1000.0000%0.00
Tony Delk-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.18-0.04-0.031019%-0.124-0.0710%-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Ray Allen0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.070.03-0.001360%0.1000.004100%0.01
Tyrone Hill0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.01-0.011169%0.102-0.03786%0.02
Dell Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.110.020.10881%0.0400.0000%0.00
Glenn Robinson0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.011259%0.0300.008100%0.04
Jerald Honeycutt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.04337%0.0010.00250%0.00
Vinny Del Negro0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.02456%0.022-0.031100%0.01
Michael Curry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.02367%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Robert Traylor0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.03-0.01-0.01643%-0.011-0.032100%0.00
Elliot Perry0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.010.000.03643%-0.0500.00250%0.00
Ervin Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.060.000.00250%-0.003-0.0600%0.00
Armen Gilliam0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.13-0.00-0.03843%-0.034-0.07757%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game22.32.424.715.528.51.432.7127.5
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +26.9%
MIL +20.1%
MIL +2.6%
GSW -0.0%
MIL +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsGSWMILNBAGSWMILNBA
this game15.215.215.880.4115.299.6
season15.915.895.1102.4
opponent16.415.5100.998.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
GSW16.017.013.714.715.2
MIL15.317.215.113.415.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Duane Ferrell16110.00-0.500.50-0.031-293011.815.9-4.1113.915.4-1.50
Felton Spencer16110.00-0.500.50-0.031-293011.815.9-4.1113.915.4-1.50
Adonal Foyle3528-0.03-0.470.440.00-1-272614.415.7-1.3714.915.4-0.53
Antawn Jamison5246-0.08-0.420.330.06-5-231814.016.7-2.6914.216.3-2.15
Erick Dampier4142-0.16-0.340.190.14-10-18817.014.03.0415.115.4-0.29
Terry Cummings4038-0.22-0.280.060.31-18-10-814.815.6-0.8015.914.81.14
Bimbo Coles4344-0.22-0.280.050.07-10-18815.614.90.6816.713.82.92
Donyell Marshall2830-0.28-0.22-0.050.19-16-12-416.314.81.5115.515.10.35
John Starks7872-0.29-0.21-0.090.29-20-8-1215.215.4-0.2214.218.9-4.76
Jason Caffey3334-0.32-0.18-0.130.04-12-16415.815.00.8215.115.3-0.22
Tony Delk5149-0.41-0.09-0.320.26-23-5-1816.114.31.7515.115.3-0.18
Chris Mills5255-0.49-0.01-0.480.30-27-1-2616.214.22.0416.713.13.59

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Ray Allen54550.460.040.42-0.041711616.213.82.3615.115.4-0.32
Tyrone Hill49490.450.050.40-0.021612416.513.82.7416.813.73.09
Vinny Del Negro43440.440.060.39-0.031612417.013.73.3316.614.12.54
Robert Traylor47550.420.080.330.031315-216.414.02.4914.516.2-1.71
Glenn Robinson46470.410.090.320.001414016.913.63.3316.014.51.54
Ervin Johnson40390.090.41-0.31-0.351513213.916.2-2.3115.714.90.79
Michael Curry41440.090.41-0.32-0.17919-1013.416.7-3.3614.515.9-1.37
Elliot Perry49530.060.44-0.39-0.301216-413.717.0-3.3314.116.6-2.54
Armen Gilliam34330.050.45-0.39-0.331315-213.916.0-2.0415.515.10.45
Dell Curry42470.020.48-0.46-0.301117-613.916.4-2.4815.315.20.06
Jerald Honeycutt15190.000.50-0.50-0.12424-2013.915.5-1.6312.116.0-3.97


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 80, PHX 1080.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.1%
IND 82, DAL 910.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%
ATL 84, IND 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.49,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.76,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.0%