NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	80		Excitement	3.9 [1008]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +18.9%
Phoenix Suns	108		Comeback	1.0 [1192]		LVP	Emanual Davis (ATL): -13.7%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DerMarr Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	7	62%	-0.00	2	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Hanno Mottola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.01	-0.04	6	29%	-0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Cal Bowdler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.04	10	32%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dion Glover	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	17	56%	0.07	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.03	10	33%	-0.05	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Crawford	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.04	8	53%	-0.03	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.01	-0.04	12	20%	-0.10	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Emanual Davis	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.03	-0.03	6	40%	-0.04	5	-0.10	3	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.17	0.03	0.01	13	81%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Rogers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jake Tsakalidis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.00	0.03	9	68%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	9	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jud Buechler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vinny Del Negro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alton Ford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
John Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	1	75%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.13	0.04	-0.04	14	39%	0.02	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.00	0.07	14	54%	-0.03	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	15	38%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	3.6	27.1	14.8	25.1	2.6	23.5	121.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +44.6%

ATL -6.7%

ATL -9.4%

PHX +21.2%

PHX +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHX	NBA	ATL	PHX	NBA
this game	16.0	14.0	15.6	83.3	112.5	102.3
season	15.5	15.1		99.7	101.0
opponent	15.8	15.2		102.1	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.7	16.5	15.1	15.7	16.0
PHX	14.6	14.1	11.6	16.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DerMarr Johnson	43	42	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.03	-1	-27	26	14.9	16.9	-1.98	14.0	14.0	-0.04
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	57	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.20	-13	-15	2	16.7	14.9	1.78	13.6	14.7	-1.09
Cal Bowdler	34	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.01	-6	-22	16	16.4	15.7	0.67	14.2	13.9	0.32
Dion Glover	73	72	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.27	-18	-10	-8	15.3	18.2	-2.94	13.3	16.2	-2.86
Chris Crawford	40	41	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	-14	0	17.5	14.9	2.69	15.8	12.7	3.07
Jacque Vaughn	63	64	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.29	-21	-7	-14	17.3	13.5	3.75	14.4	13.2	1.20
Hanno Mottola	51	51	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.33	-25	-3	-22	15.2	16.9	-1.71	13.4	14.8	-1.42
Emanual Davis	56	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.08	-17	-11	-6	15.4	16.7	-1.28	14.5	13.4	1.11
Nazr Mohammed	63	61	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.31	-25	-3	-22	15.5	16.9	-1.42	13.7	14.6	-0.87

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	63	65	0.69	-0.19	0.88	-0.49	40	-12	52	13.9	14.2	-0.25	16.5	14.9	1.64
Anfernee Hardaway	65	68	0.53	-0.03	0.55	-0.32	29	-1	30	13.6	14.9	-1.30	17.2	13.0	4.21
Shawn Marion	72	73	0.46	0.04	0.43	-0.12	20	8	12	13.9	14.3	-0.36	16.3	15.0	1.23
Stephon Marbury	76	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.07	18	10	8	13.5	16.0	-2.50	16.0	15.8	0.22
Jake Tsakalidis	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.35	25	3	22	13.6	14.7	-1.11	15.3	17.1	-1.84
Jake Voskuhl	24	24	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.11	10	18	-8	15.1	13.7	1.47	17.4	15.5	1.86
Tony Delk	45	45	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.21	8	20	-12	14.6	13.5	1.05	14.3	17.5	-3.18
Jud Buechler	10	10	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	25	-22	17.8	13.6	4.22	17.1	15.8	1.25
Vinny Del Negro	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	17.1	13.7	3.41	16.4	15.9	0.43
Alton Ford	9	8	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	27	-26	17.1	13.7	3.41	16.4	15.9	0.43
Rodney Rogers	41	39	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.12	-7	35	-42	12.5	15.1	-2.59	13.7	17.5	-3.85
John Wallace	7	6	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	36	-44	16.9	13.8	3.06	18.2	15.8	2.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.76,0.86,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
IND 82, DAL 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.7%
POR 93, NOH 113	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.74,0.71,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.2%
GSW 78, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.75,0.76,0.84,0.94,0.94,0.89,0.93,0.9,0.95,0.98,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%