NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	85		Excitement	8.3 [208]		MVP	Robert Covington (PHI): +39.6%
Minnesota Timberwolves	77		Comeback	2.0 [298]		LVP	Corey Brewer (MIN): -21.3%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Robert Covington	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.4,0.4	0.08	0.31	-0.01	13	57%	0.40	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
KJ McDaniels	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.12,0.12	-0.06	0.17	-0.01	13	43%	0.19	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02
Henry Sims	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	53%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Jerami Grant	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Nerlens Noel	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Luc Mbah a Moute	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.02	-0.03	0.03	9	52%	-0.02	1	-0.02	5	80%	-0.02
Brandon Davies	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JaKarr Sampson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.13,-0.19,-0.08,-0.09	-0.14	-0.01	-0.06	20	43%	0.07	6	-0.15	7	29%	-0.05
Hollis Thompson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	6	21%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,0.17,0.12,0.11	0.11	-0.09	0.15	-0.05	14	47%	0.18	5	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	6	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robbie Hummel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Shabazz Muhammad	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Bennett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,0.02,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	16	44%	0.01	4	-0.13	4	100%	0.04
Gorgui Dieng	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	12	52%	0.11	4	-0.26	5	60%	-0.02
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.15	-0.06	0.00	11	29%	-0.10	4	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	26.8	14.8	27.2	1.7	30.4	128.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +42.0%

MIN -4.5%

MIN -4.0%

PHI +14.5%

PHI +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIN	NBA	PHI	MIN	NBA
this game	14.5	14.4	15.1	85.9	77.0	104.2
season	14.9	15.0		94.3	101.2
opponent	15.0	14.8		110.5	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.8	13.9	14.2	15.3	14.5
MIN	14.6	13.8	14.6	14.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Carter-Williams	90	89	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.30	14	-6	20	14.1	18.6	-4.42	14.6	12.7	1.89
Robert Covington	65	64	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.33	11	-3	14	15.1	13.5	1.53	14.2	14.7	-0.49
KJ McDaniels	75	75	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.33	7	1	6	14.4	15.0	-0.67	13.5	17.2	-3.72
Henry Sims	49	50	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.13	5	3	2	14.8	14.3	0.44	16.4	12.4	4.06
Luc Mbah a Moute	58	61	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.06	6	2	4	14.4	14.7	-0.29	14.6	14.1	0.55
Jerami Grant	18	17	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.06	10	-2	12	15.3	14.4	0.98	12.3	14.8	-2.55
Nerlens Noel	53	55	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.08	-2	10	-12	13.7	15.5	-1.80	14.0	14.9	-0.83
JaKarr Sampson	5	6	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	8	-8	14.8	14.5	0.28	13.2	14.5	-1.32
Brandon Davies	22	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.05	0	8	-8	13.8	14.8	-0.98	13.3	14.7	-1.46
Hollis Thompson	60	61	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.23	-11	19	-30	15.5	13.1	2.36	15.0	13.5	1.55

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	11	12	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.01	2	-10	12	14.1	14.4	-0.36	11.4	15.0	-3.55
Anthony Bennett	7	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.08	-7	-1	-6	14.6	14.4	0.17	17.8	14.3	3.51
Corey Brewer	83	84	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-11	14	14.0	16.2	-2.13	13.8	18.6	-4.79
Thaddeus Young	76	74	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.32	5	-13	18	14.8	13.3	1.47	14.6	14.4	0.23
Shabazz Muhammad	35	34	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.06	-10	2	-12	14.3	14.5	-0.24	16.1	13.7	2.32
Mo Williams	82	82	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-6	4	14.4	14.4	-0.04	14.6	14.3	0.29
Robbie Hummel	30	30	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.07	-13	5	-18	13.3	14.9	-1.63	14.4	14.6	-0.15
Gorgui Dieng	85	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-9	10	14.6	13.4	1.19	14.7	13.3	1.46
Zach LaVine	28	26	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.11	-10	2	-12	15.5	14.0	1.46	16.0	14.0	1.93
Andrew Wiggins	63	62	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	1	-10	14.4	14.4	0.05	14.0	15.4	-1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.36,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.46,0.66,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 102, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.36,0.47,0.33,0.31,0.54,0.55,0.27,0	91.5%
WAS 114, MIA 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.2,0.06,0.25,0.37,0.57,0.05,0	91.5%
IND 96, VAN 89	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.56,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.22,0.45,0.31,0	91.2%