NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Charlotte Bobcats	99		Excitement	5.9 [648]		MVP	Russell Westbrook (OKC): +13.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	116		Comeback	1.3 [1213]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -22.7%

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	-0.01	5	71%	0.14	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Al Jefferson	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.10	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Cody Zeller	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.04	0.02	3	77%	0.10	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
Anthony Tolliver	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	-0.02	0.00	12	63%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	125%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Bismack Biyombo	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	2	83%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Gerald Henderson	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kemba Walker	-0.23	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.16	-0.09	-0.02	13	23%	-0.17	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.16	0.01	0.04	12	100%	0.27	5	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.06	-0.01	14	57%	0.15	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	24	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	12	100%	0.07
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	3	70%	0.09	3	-0.06	4	75%	-0.01
Perry Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	6	33%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	8	39%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Hasheem Thabeet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	8	68%	0.05	3	-0.07	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	1.7	32.0	15.8	31.1	1.7	31.3	138.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +38.6%

OKC +0.9%

OKC +14.7%

OKC +1.1%

CHA -5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHA	OKC	NBA	CHA	OKC	NBA
this game	15.6	13.2	15.1	99.0	116.0	105.2
season	15.7	14.4		102.4	107.8
opponent	15.4	15.1		102.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHA	15.3	16.6	14.4	16.3	15.6
OKC	14.1	11.7	13.3	13.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jannero Pargo	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	13.0	15.8	-2.76	16.2	13.0	3.18
Chris Douglas-Roberts	5	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-20	23	13.0	15.8	-2.76	16.2	13.0	3.18
Anthony Tolliver	53	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-21	25	15.3	16.0	-0.72	12.7	13.7	-0.94
Luke Ridnour	25	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-15	13	16.2	15.4	0.72	12.9	13.3	-0.40
Cody Zeller	42	43	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-17	17	14.1	16.7	-2.67	12.5	13.7	-1.13
Bismack Biyombo	24	26	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.15	-2	-15	13	14.8	15.9	-1.04	13.8	13.0	0.80
Gary Neal	45	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.13	-14	-3	-11	14.0	16.9	-2.91	13.0	13.3	-0.29
Al Jefferson	76	74	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.15	-15	-2	-13	15.9	14.8	1.04	13.0	13.8	-0.80
Josh McRoberts	58	57	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.20	-17	0	-17	16.7	14.1	2.67	13.7	12.5	1.13
Gerald Henderson	58	56	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.19	-17	0	-17	17.0	13.7	3.37	12.6	13.9	-1.26
Kemba Walker	70	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	0.16	-18	1	-19	15.6	15.6	-0.02	13.0	13.5	-0.49
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	39	41	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-7	-3	16.2	15.3	0.88	14.2	12.4	1.80

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	79	80	0.50	0.00	0.49	-0.09	20	-3	23	12.9	14.1	-1.22	15.8	14.8	0.96
Reggie Jackson	58	57	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.03	13	4	9	13.8	12.3	1.54	14.7	16.9	-2.18
Serge Ibaka	55	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.18	18	-1	19	13.3	13.0	0.37	16.1	15.0	1.13
Nick Collison	31	30	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.12	7	10	-3	11.8	13.8	-1.99	15.0	15.9	-0.89
Russell Westbrook	51	53	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.17	17	0	17	12.3	14.1	-1.73	16.9	14.1	2.78
Jeremy Lamb	50	50	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.24	-2	19	-21	13.8	12.5	1.28	14.5	16.8	-2.32
Derek Fisher	39	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.14	11	6	5	13.6	12.9	0.67	16.0	15.4	0.59
Perry Jones	47	45	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.05	3	14	-11	13.0	13.3	-0.34	16.3	15.1	1.18
Steven Adams	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	18	-19	13.8	12.8	1.07	16.4	15.2	1.21
Hasheem Thabeet	38	39	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.03	2	15	-13	13.6	13.0	0.60	14.1	16.6	-2.53
Andre Roberson	14	13	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.12	-3	20	-23	11.8	13.4	-1.62	16.1	15.6	0.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 84, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.2%
MIN 90, NYK 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
ATL 76, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.0%