NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	76		Excitement	5.4 [720]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (WAS): +17.2%
Washington Wizards	84		Comeback	1.2 [1025]		LVP	Glenn Robinson (ATL): -20.1%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jason Terry	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1	0.09	0.04	0.04	17	65%	0.13	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ira Newble	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	4	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Mike Wilks	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	9	45%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Dion Glover	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	14	53%	0.01	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.04
Theo Ratliff	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Glenn Robinson	-0.20	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.2,-0.2	-0.17	-0.06	-0.04	20	27%	-0.13	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.06	0.00	8	81%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.02	0.08	-0.03	21	52%	0.10	1	-0.01	14	79%	0.02
Michael Jordan	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.07	0.00	10	45%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.03	-0.02	3	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Etan Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	4	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.02	8	40%	-0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	4	42%	-0.05	1	-0.04	4	25%	-0.07
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	12	46%	-0.04	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	3.0	24.3	16.3	23.9	1.8	33.2	125.6
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +40.4%

WAS +10.7%

ATL -15.7%

WAS +11.9%

WAS +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	17.5	16.6	15.5	90.5	98.8	101.6
season	15.1	16.5		99.5	100.9
opponent	15.5	15.7		101.9	103.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.3	18.2	16.6	19.3	17.5
WAS	15.0	19.7	15.4	16.7	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dion Glover	15	16	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-12	16	15.5	18.0	-2.49	16.9	16.5	0.37
Alan Henderson	34	35	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.23	7	-15	22	18.7	16.7	2.01	17.7	15.8	1.98
Darvin Ham	26	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-4	0	17.8	17.4	0.37	17.9	15.9	1.98
Ira Newble	13	13	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.12	-10	2	-12	15.7	17.8	-2.15	13.0	17.2	-4.22
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	74	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.22	-2	-6	4	17.1	20.4	-3.28	15.9	21.5	-5.60
Mike Wilks	57	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-8	8	18.2	16.0	2.28	17.2	15.4	1.82
Jason Terry	75	77	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.13	-9	1	-10	17.2	20.2	-3.04	16.5	16.9	-0.33
Theo Ratliff	59	59	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.19	-12	4	-16	17.1	18.5	-1.38	16.2	17.4	-1.16
Glenn Robinson	67	67	-0.64	0.14	-0.77	-0.23	-14	6	-20	18.1	15.0	3.15	16.7	16.2	0.52

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brendan Haywood	53	52	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.28	16	-8	24	16.2	17.2	-1.08	18.1	16.5	1.58
Jerry Stackhouse	76	75	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	1	6	16.2	19.7	-3.46	17.1	20.6	-3.41
Tyronn Lue	42	42	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.18	6	2	4	17.2	15.9	1.31	17.9	17.2	0.69
Bryon Russell	32	32	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	0	8	17.1	16.3	0.83	17.8	17.3	0.44
Michael Jordan	64	64	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.16	4	4	0	15.9	18.7	-2.78	16.8	19.7	-2.94
Kwame Brown	37	36	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	9	-10	19.4	14.4	4.96	19.3	16.2	3.14
Christian Laettner	59	58	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.10	2	6	-4	15.1	19.9	-4.82	16.7	19.2	-2.49
Larry Hughes	43	43	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.02	2	6	-4	15.9	17.2	-1.31	16.8	18.3	-1.53
Etan Thomas	19	18	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.04	-4	12	-16	19.7	15.7	4.07	19.2	17.1	2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.68,0.62,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.59,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.76,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 99, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.0%
CLE 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.99,1	93.7%
NJN 97, SAC 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.67,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.9,0.99,0.98,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.91,1	93.7%