NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Excitement	4.9 [809]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +29.1%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	1.1 [912]		LVP	Anthony Peeler (MIN): -13.4%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	2	150%	0.13	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.01	-0.01	-0.06	10	54%	0.06	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	20	51%	0.07	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Sam Mitchell	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	2	83%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
LaPhonso Ellis	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.01	9	55%	0.04	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	0.02	0.05	18	49%	-0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Tom Hammonds	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	12	35%	-0.11	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Anthony Peeler	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.05	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29	0.29	0.22	0.10	0.03	20	86%	0.33	4	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Camby	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Glen Rice	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.02
Larry Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.05	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	11	59%	0.05	5	-0.14	7	100%	0.03
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	7	45%	-0.03	3	-0.10	6	83%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	2.4	26.4	15.8	24.1	1.8	33.4	128.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +37.5%

NYK +10.6%

NYK +18.9%

MIN -18.9%

NYK +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	15.4	18.3	15.5	105.9	116.3	100.9
season	15.0	16.4		102.9	99.2
opponent	16.1	15.9		96.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.2	16.8	16.9	15.0	15.4
NYK	19.5	18.3	19.1	16.3	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	68	67	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.14	2	-12	14	15.4	15.3	0.15	19.4	14.4	4.99
Rasho Nesterovic	12	13	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.00	-3	-7	4	16.9	15.2	1.75	19.7	18.0	1.69
Sam Mitchell	20	22	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-6	2	15.8	15.3	0.51	16.1	19.0	-2.91
Wally Szczerbiak	60	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.12	-1	-9	8	14.5	17.6	-3.04	18.8	17.0	1.83
Terrell Brandon	63	65	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.01	-5	-5	0	14.6	17.7	-3.06	18.7	17.0	1.66
Todd Day	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.16	-3	-7	4	17.3	14.6	2.73	16.0	19.2	-3.23
Tom Hammonds	7	6	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.12	-7	-3	-4	17.4	15.2	2.20	15.7	18.4	-2.78
Anthony Peeler	33	31	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.02	-12	2	-14	15.6	15.3	0.32	18.4	18.2	0.26
Chauncey Billups	59	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.31	-5	-5	0	15.5	15.1	0.43	17.9	19.1	-1.16
Kevin Garnett	77	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.16	-12	2	-14	15.4	15.6	-0.24	18.1	20.0	-1.92

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Larry Johnson	71	69	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.16	13	-3	16	18.3	17.9	0.39	15.0	17.2	-2.26
Kurt Thomas	42	42	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.16	10	0	10	17.5	19.0	-1.43	16.9	14.0	2.86
Allan Houston	68	70	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	2	6	18.7	16.6	2.15	14.8	18.1	-3.22
Glen Rice	52	51	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.03	10	0	10	18.8	17.4	1.49	15.7	14.9	0.78
Erick Strickland	19	18	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	4	2	16.1	18.9	-2.76	16.2	15.2	0.96
Chris Childs	57	56	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.21	2	8	-6	17.3	20.1	-2.84	16.1	14.0	2.09
Latrell Sprewell	62	60	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	6	-2	18.8	16.8	1.97	14.9	16.6	-1.68
Marcus Camby	59	59	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.09	-3	13	-16	18.7	17.3	1.40	14.9	16.6	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.7,0.77,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.56,0.6,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.57,0.71,0.77,0.87,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHA 99, OKC 116	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.95,1,1,1,1,1	94.2%
PHI 84, TOR 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.8,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	94.1%
CLE 85, IND 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.57,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.74,0.65,0.62,0.48,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.72,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.9,0.96,0.91,0.97,0.99,1	94.1%