NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	81		Excitement	4.4 [951]		MVP	Thabo Sefolosha (OKC): +11.2%
Washington Wizards	96		Comeback	1.1 [496]		LVP	Reggie Jackson (OKC): -17.2%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.04	-0.02	5	80%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Fisher	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.02	0.00	5	55%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Serge Ibaka	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	12	54%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	2	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Perry Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	0.00	0.03	5	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	21	50%	0.03	5	-0.08	10	100%	0.04
Kendrick Perkins	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.22	-0.03	-0.08	17	35%	-0.02	8	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrett Temple	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	4	87%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.01	15	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	13	54%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.05	0.03	12	65%	0.11	3	-0.06	2	0%	-0.02
Martell Webster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Kevin Seraphin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.07	0.02	-0.05	4	25%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
John Wall	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	18	42%	0.01	2	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Bradley Beal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.10	0.01	-0.06	12	29%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.4	28.4	17.4	25.2	2.5	24.6	125.9
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +32.6%

OKC -6.6%

WAS +2.9%

WAS +21.1%

WAS +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	WAS	NBA	OKC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.2	16.0	15.1	85.3	100.0	105.2
season	14.4	15.1		107.8	103.8
opponent	15.5	15.4		102.7	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	14.8	12.5	14.0	15.7	14.2
WAS	12.9	17.5	15.4	18.6	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	67	69	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-17	19	14.5	13.4	1.08	16.5	14.5	2.00
Thabo Sefolosha	55	57	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-16	17	13.7	14.9	-1.18	15.9	16.0	-0.03
Kendrick Perkins	43	44	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-8	1	13.6	14.7	-1.07	14.8	16.9	-2.10
Steven Adams	23	26	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-11	7	14.8	14.0	0.78	18.7	15.0	3.70
Perry Jones	39	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.02	-9	-6	-3	15.2	13.5	1.72	17.2	15.1	2.06
Serge Ibaka	65	65	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.08	-6	-9	3	13.8	15.0	-1.18	14.9	18.2	-3.30
Nick Collison	36	35	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.02	-10	-5	-5	15.0	13.7	1.26	16.0	15.9	0.07
Jeremy Lamb	40	40	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-9	-6	-3	14.8	13.8	1.01	18.0	14.5	3.50
Kevin Durant	79	78	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.03	-16	1	-17	13.8	15.9	-2.10	14.9	20.4	-5.52
Derek Fisher	28	27	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.05	-17	2	-19	13.4	14.5	-1.08	14.5	16.5	-2.00

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Martell Webster	43	43	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-1	17	16.3	15.7	0.62	13.7	14.6	-0.86
Marcin Gortat	73	73	0.48	0.02	0.47	-0.05	18	-3	21	15.6	17.0	-1.31	14.0	14.8	-0.76
Trevor Booker	48	47	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.17	10	5	5	16.4	15.5	0.92	13.0	15.3	-2.27
Trevor Ariza	81	80	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.02	16	-1	17	15.3	19.5	-4.24	14.0	15.3	-1.28
John Wall	73	71	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.06	13	2	11	15.3	18.1	-2.86	13.4	16.4	-2.98
Kevin Seraphin	18	17	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.03	6	9	-3	15.8	16.0	-0.22	16.3	13.7	2.56
Bradley Beal	66	64	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.15	-3	18	-21	16.8	14.2	2.61	15.0	12.6	2.39
Garrett Temple	25	27	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	12	-9	17.4	15.5	1.90	15.7	13.6	2.06
Nene	53	53	-0.10	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	19	-23	16.0	15.9	0.18	14.8	13.5	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 89, BOS 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.6,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.73,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.66,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.99,1,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%
CLE 88, MIL 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.2%
MIL 90, HOU 105	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.4%