inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Cleveland Cavaliers 88 Excitement4.2 [1010] MVPMichael Redd (MIL): +12.9%
Milwaukee Bucks 96 Comeback1.1 [1132] LVPLeBron James (CLE): -7.9%


Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Drew Gooden0.010,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.05-0.020.021164%0.051-0.0300%0.00
Jiri Welsch-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Anderson Varejao-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.020.000.04367%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Lucious Harris-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.020.00-0.00530%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Zydrunas Ilgauskas-0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.00-0.021443%0.011-0.02250%-0.01
Ira Newble-0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Robert Traylor-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.04-0.01-0.02250%-0.002-0.0200%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.00-0.000.03350%-0.0300.00250%0.00
Eric Snow-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.0240%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Jeff McInnis-0.070,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.001440%-0.051-0.022100%0.01
LeBron James-0.080,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.080.01-0.050.042658%0.035-0.11757%-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Michael Redd0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.030.05-0.052263%0.205-0.077100%0.03
Joe Smith0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.050.01-0.021262%0.0800.001090%0.02
Calvin Booth0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.010.00-0.01375%0.031-0.01683%0.01
Mo Williams0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.030.00-0.01950%0.011-0.036100%0.02
Anthony Goldwire0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.000.000.02275%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Erick Strickland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.04-0.00-0.02250%0.002-0.0200%0.00
Toni Kukoc0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.050.00-0.0320%-0.031-0.0000%0.00
Desmond Mason0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.06-0.00-0.031639%-0.031-0.001100%0.00
Dan Gadzuric0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.020.01450%-0.021-0.0300%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.81.828.215.528.52.627.2124.7
league avg51.62.428.612.725.12.130.4153.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +24.2%
MIL +18.1%
MIL +1.0%
MIL +0.9%
MIL +5.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCLEMILNBACLEMILNBA
this game16.215.815.598.9105.5104.0
season16.216.0104.6104.4
opponent15.015.3107.4103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CLE17.016.018.313.716.2
MIL14.316.015.317.615.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Eric Snow38400.05-0.550.60-0.136-142015.716.5-0.8116.415.41.02
Lucious Harris2121-0.00-0.500.50-0.093-111415.216.5-1.3213.616.5-2.90
Sasha Pavlovic1313-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-131813.816.6-2.7615.715.8-0.13
Jiri Welsch98-0.04-0.460.42-0.164-121613.016.6-3.5614.915.9-1.02
Anderson Varejao2729-0.07-0.430.36-0.308-162413.317.5-4.1716.115.70.44
Robert Traylor4241-0.11-0.390.270.00-4-4017.315.22.1415.715.9-0.26
Zydrunas Ilgauskas6871-0.19-0.310.11-0.345-131815.219.6-4.4116.413.62.76
Ira Newble3536-0.37-0.13-0.240.04-146-2017.715.22.4916.415.40.92
LeBron James8284-0.50-0.00-0.50-0.09-146-2016.89.07.8215.815.70.10
Drew Gooden4545-0.630.13-0.750.17-2719-4618.414.04.3615.016.6-1.59
Jeff McInnis6567-0.630.13-0.77-0.28-124-1616.216.2-0.0115.815.70.13

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Redd77760.73-0.230.95-0.0426-184415.218.9-3.6916.812.93.84
Joe Smith84820.67-0.170.850.1219-113015.518.9-3.3116.512.63.94
Mo Williams63610.460.040.420.1411-31415.516.6-1.1116.316.10.19
Calvin Booth49470.360.140.210.3317-615.116.6-1.4315.517.0-1.47
Desmond Mason78760.290.210.070.38-311-1416.312.73.6315.619.8-4.27
Dan Gadzuric42420.140.36-0.21-0.0671616.615.11.4317.015.51.47
Anthony Goldwire28280.040.46-0.420.13-311-1416.615.51.1116.116.3-0.19
Toni Kukoc14140.000.50-0.490.06-210-1215.315.9-0.6116.916.10.78
Erick Strickland2019-0.190.69-0.880.28-1624-4017.415.42.0514.616.6-2.00


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.84,0.8,0.76,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.63,0.62,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.78,0.85,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
OKC 81, WAS 960.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.64,0.68,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.82,0.73,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.58,0.65,0.75,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.79,0.81,0.82,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,0.99,1,1,1,195.2%
MIL 90, HOU 1050.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.7,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.78,0.79,0.87,0.87,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,194.1%
NYK 109, CHA 1160.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.84,194.0%