NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	109		Excitement	5.5 [733]		MVP	Jumaine Jones (CHA): +14.6%
Charlotte Bobcats	116		Comeback	1.3 [1076]		LVP	Quentin Richardson (NYK): -10.3%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephon Marbury	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.1	0.10	0.00	0.00	10	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	7	86%	0.02
Eddy Curry	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	-0.01	0.03	11	63%	0.08	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
David Lee	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.02	5	73%	0.07	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.00
Jalen Rose	0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.04	0.03	15	61%	0.10	1	-0.07	8	62%	-0.01
Steve Francis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	9	62%	0.11	5	-0.09	8	75%	-0.01
Malik Rose	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jackie Butler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	6	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Channing Frye	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	11	36%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jumaine Jones	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15	0.15	0.19	-0.02	0.03	17	72%	0.15	1	-0.00	5	100%	0.02
Primoz Brezec	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.07	0.03	-0.02	15	55%	0.12	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.02	-0.02	17	54%	0.14	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Matt Carroll	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	60%	0.08	0	0.00	7	57%	-0.04
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	8	52%	0.05	1	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02
Gerald Wallace	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	9	52%	0.05	2	-0.05	13	46%	-0.05
Brevin Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.06	-0.01	6	41%	0.06	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.00
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bernard Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	35.9	15.8	24.4	2.4	42.5	149.6
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +19.6%

NYK -0.7%

CHA +12.7%

CHA +13.7%

CHA +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	15.6	114.7	123.4	104.4
season	15.7	14.8		102.1	100.5
opponent	15.4	15.4		104.6	108.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.3	14.7	17.5	14.5	15.5
CHA	14.7	14.7	16.0	14.8	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Lee	51	51	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.22	9	-16	25	14.6	16.5	-1.85	14.7	15.3	-0.58
Jackie Butler	25	26	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-17	27	13.7	16.1	-2.42	15.5	14.8	0.68
Jamal Crawford	28	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-8	9	14.1	16.0	-1.97	15.2	14.9	0.28
Steve Francis	60	58	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.24	2	-9	11	15.1	16.1	-1.03	15.3	14.6	0.65
Malik Rose	20	20	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.06	-8	1	-9	16.9	15.1	1.82	13.5	15.4	-1.92
Channing Frye	29	30	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	3	-13	16.6	15.0	1.57	17.3	13.9	3.36
Quentin Richardson	57	55	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	2	-11	16.2	14.3	1.91	15.1	14.9	0.19
Stephon Marbury	62	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	-1	-5	15.1	16.2	-1.10	14.0	16.8	-2.83
Eddy Curry	60	57	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.04	-16	9	-25	16.5	13.6	2.90	15.2	14.7	0.51
Jalen Rose	83	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.24	-8	1	-9	15.5	15.0	0.53	14.9	16.2	-1.33

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jumaine Jones	82	82	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.23	10	-3	13	14.5	18.3	-3.81	15.3	16.3	-0.98
Melvin Ely	36	37	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	-4	15	15.5	14.7	0.75	16.1	15.1	1.06
Primoz Brezec	66	65	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.22	5	2	3	15.4	14.2	1.19	16.5	13.2	3.31
Brevin Knight	71	71	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.29	2	5	-3	14.6	16.3	-1.66	15.3	15.8	-0.50
Raymond Felton	76	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.16	6	1	5	15.3	13.8	1.52	16.2	12.2	4.07
Matt Carroll	38	40	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.11	7	0	7	16.3	14.1	2.15	14.6	16.1	-1.40
Gerald Wallace	71	69	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.16	0	7	-7	14.6	16.3	-1.77	14.9	16.9	-2.01
Jake Voskuhl	17	19	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	9	-11	16.1	14.8	1.28	14.9	15.6	-0.64
Bernard Robinson	13	15	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.02	-4	11	-15	12.8	15.4	-2.60	12.1	16.1	-4.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.51,0.58,0.69,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.82,0.87,0.92,0.9,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.95,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 79, MIA 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.61,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.61,0.58,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.88,0.91,0.9,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
LAL 98, IND 118	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.8,0.81,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.6%
ORL 90, DET 98	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.69,0.74,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.71,0.74,0.81,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.92,0.84,0.94,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.95,0.99,0.99,1	94.5%