NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	113		Excitement	7.2 [382]		MVP	Paul Pierce (BKN): +30.9%
Brooklyn Nets	107		Comeback	1.2 [459]		LVP	John Wall (WAS): -12.6%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nene	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	10	63%	0.15	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.01
Kevin Seraphin	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.05	0.00	6	59%	0.11	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Martell Webster	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.01	6	72%	0.11	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Trevor Ariza	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	13	58%	0.08	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.05	-0.01	11	42%	0.08	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Bradley Beal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,0,0	0.04	-0.02	0.03	10	62%	0.07	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Otto Porter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrett Temple	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	7	36%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	8	35%	-0.07	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
John Wall	-0.13	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.13	-0.03	-0.09	0.01	17	58%	-0.01	6	-0.12	2	100%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.23	0.09	0.01	12	90%	0.37	2	-0.06	6	67%	-0.04
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.10	-0.00	0.02	14	67%	0.11	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Brook Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	11	71%	0.16	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.03
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.04	9	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	58%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.03
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.04	0.02	13	52%	0.05	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.8	2.3	28.5	16.7	26.4	2.3	39.3	137.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -9.4%

BKN -0.6%

WAS +57.1%

WAS +1.6%

WAS +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	BKN	NBA	WAS	BKN	NBA
this game	16.2	14.2	15.1	118.9	113.8	105.2
season	15.1	15.7		103.8	105.1
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.7	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	17.8	14.8	17.6	15.1	16.2
BKN	14.9	15.9	13.7	12.6	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	61	60	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-8	22	15.4	17.8	-2.42	13.8	15.0	-1.22
Trevor Ariza	72	71	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.16	12	-6	18	15.8	17.6	-1.75	14.3	14.0	0.30
John Wall	76	75	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.25	8	-2	10	15.9	17.4	-1.47	13.8	15.7	-1.90
Nene	47	46	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	4	-2	15.1	17.3	-2.21	13.9	14.6	-0.69
Trevor Booker	47	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.04	11	-5	16	17.2	15.3	1.88	14.8	13.7	1.05
Marcin Gortat	58	60	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	6	-6	16.9	15.2	1.77	13.4	15.6	-2.14
Kevin Seraphin	34	33	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.20	-3	9	-12	16.9	15.9	1.00	15.9	13.3	2.64
Martell Webster	55	55	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.26	-8	14	-22	16.5	15.9	0.50	14.4	14.0	0.34
Garrett Temple	19	19	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.08	-2	8	-10	17.4	15.9	1.47	15.7	13.8	1.90
Otto Porter	6	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	10	-14	19.2	16.0	3.12	13.2	14.3	-1.08

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	10	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.00	1	-7	8	15.8	14.0	1.76	17.2	16.1	1.06
Mirza Teletovic	17	18	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-5	4	15.5	13.9	1.59	16.6	16.2	0.39
Reggie Evans	10	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-3	0	16.9	13.9	3.00	18.7	16.0	2.68
Andray Blatche	50	51	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.15	-1	-5	4	14.0	14.5	-0.43	14.7	18.0	-3.36
Kevin Garnett	47	47	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-7	8	13.7	14.7	-0.96	17.9	14.6	3.35
Paul Pierce	70	71	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.43	7	-13	20	14.0	14.9	-0.87	15.7	17.8	-2.13
Alan Anderson	36	37	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.09	-12	6	-18	15.1	13.7	1.44	17.3	15.6	1.73
Brook Lopez	64	64	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.25	-7	1	-8	14.0	14.8	-0.80	15.9	16.9	-0.98
Joe Johnson	82	83	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.29	-8	2	-10	14.0	15.6	-1.56	16.1	16.9	-0.77
Deron Williams	84	84	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	1	-8	14.0	15.8	-1.76	16.1	17.2	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.44,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.14,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 115, OKC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0	93.5%
NOH 88, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.28,0	93.2%
UTA 99, PHX 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.01,0	93.1%