NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	99		Excitement	6.8 [432]		MVP	Raja Bell (UTA): +15.8%
Phoenix Suns	90		Comeback	1.2 [490]		LVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): -27.1%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raja Bell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16	0.05	0.11	-0.00	12	57%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Gordan Giricek	0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.09	0.01	0.10	0.03	18	70%	0.27	7	-0.18	11	82%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	57%	0.02	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Mikki Moore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarron Collins	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	6	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Tom Gugliotta	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Lopez	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mo Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Arroyo	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	8	45%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.02
Andrei Kirilenko	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.08	0.00	11	36%	-0.14	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	45%	0.02	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.03	-0.00	14	44%	0.02	3	-0.08	6	67%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.09	-0.10	0.00	19	49%	-0.08	4	-0.11	9	89%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.19,-0.21,-0.17,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.27	-0.14	-0.11	0.01	22	48%	-0.07	6	-0.20	10	60%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.5	29.2	14.8	27.4	1.7	35.2	134.0
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +49.7%

UTA +0.1%

PHX -9.4%

UTA +12.0%

PHX -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	PHX	NBA	UTA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.1	13.7	15.7	102.1	93.8	100.5
season	17.2	14.6		99.4	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.2		103.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.1	14.9	15.2	17.1	16.1
PHX	12.9	17.8	14.2	10.6	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarron Collins	74	72	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.18	15	-6	21	16.4	15.3	1.05	13.2	15.3	-2.14
Gordan Giricek	77	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.18	11	-2	13	16.4	14.8	1.58	13.5	14.6	-1.08
Raja Bell	61	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.23	7	2	5	15.0	17.9	-2.93	13.4	14.3	-0.83
Carlos Arroyo	60	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	-1	11	16.1	16.1	0.04	12.7	15.3	-2.55
Andrei Kirilenko	87	86	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.25	3	6	-3	16.7	11.1	5.58	13.5	16.0	-2.53
Raul Lopez	37	37	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	10	-11	16.1	16.1	-0.04	15.3	12.7	2.55
Mikki Moore	14	13	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	6	-3	16.5	16.0	0.46	13.5	13.8	-0.22
Tom Gugliotta	35	35	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.00	2	7	-5	17.4	15.4	1.98	15.5	12.7	2.81
Greg Ostertag	29	30	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	9	-9	14.5	16.8	-2.26	15.7	12.8	2.92
Mo Williams	11	12	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	14	-19	13.3	16.5	-3.19	11.8	14.0	-2.17

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leandro Barbosa	30	31	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.05	1	-10	11	13.3	13.9	-0.58	16.8	15.8	1.03
Jahidi White	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.03	-3	-6	3	18.2	13.3	4.96	16.8	16.0	0.74
Zarko Cabarkapa	20	21	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.06	-5	-4	-1	16.7	12.9	3.75	16.8	15.9	0.90
Donnell Harvey	11	11	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.06	-7	-2	-5	12.1	13.9	-1.85	17.8	15.9	1.93
Howard Eisley	39	39	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.23	-1	-8	7	11.8	15.0	-3.21	15.6	16.4	-0.77
Jake Voskuhl	57	58	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-2	-5	14.1	13.2	0.88	15.7	16.7	-1.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.26	-1	-8	7	14.1	12.7	1.36	16.6	14.8	1.76
Shawn Marion	84	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.21	-7	-2	-5	13.6	14.9	-1.36	15.6	19.4	-3.79
Joe Johnson	93	94	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.25	-7	-2	-5	13.9	9.3	4.54	16.1	17.7	-1.61
Casey Jacobsen	66	66	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.27	-8	-1	-7	13.1	15.1	-1.95	16.0	16.3	-0.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.18,0.19,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.25,0.15,0.13,0.14,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	94.0%
WAS 95, POR 91	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.08,0	93.9%
PHX 117, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0	93.6%