NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	117		Excitement	6.5 [468]		MVP	Francisco Garcia (SAC): +24.1%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	1.0 [1142]		LVP	Brad Miller (SAC): -15.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.21	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.05	0.02	16	76%	0.23	1	-0.02	1	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.04	-0.01	15	67%	0.20	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.01	0.06	0.00	11	46%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Grant Hill	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.01	9	50%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.07	-0.01	0.04	22	56%	0.08	2	-0.06	11	45%	-0.09
Steve Nash	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	11	48%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Boris Diaw	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	10	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.04	0.00	17	71%	0.24	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.11	0.03	0.02	11	74%	0.17	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	5	62%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Justin Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	10	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.01	-0.09	0.03	18	57%	0.03	5	-0.16	4	100%	0.02
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.05	-0.01	10	20%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brad Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.03	-0.03	16	28%	-0.10	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	2.6	31.1	15.5	23.3	2.4	28.6	130.2
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +37.5%

SAC -2.8%

PHX +3.2%

PHX +11.1%

PHX +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	14.4	15.0	15.4	120.6	103.0	105.7
season	13.8	14.9		111.1	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.6		108.0	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	16.0	12.8	14.1	14.9	14.4
SAC	14.0	14.9	14.7	16.4	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raja Bell	63	65	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.00	18	-3	21	14.8	13.8	0.97	15.3	14.4	0.92
Grant Hill	73	74	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.02	16	-1	17	14.8	13.4	1.39	15.0	14.7	0.32
Amar'e Stoudemire	68	71	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	2	11	14.6	14.0	0.55	15.4	13.7	1.69
Shawn Marion	68	71	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.03	15	0	15	14.5	14.3	0.16	15.1	14.6	0.44
Steve Nash	67	69	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.03	12	3	9	14.9	13.4	1.43	15.3	14.2	1.14
Boris Diaw	54	54	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.17	-1	16	-17	14.0	15.0	-1.00	13.8	16.3	-2.52
Leandro Barbosa	56	56	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.15	-1	16	-17	13.8	15.3	-1.51	14.1	16.0	-1.88
Brian Skinner	36	35	0.03	0.47	-0.43	-0.05	3	12	-9	13.6	14.9	-1.38	15.4	14.7	0.64

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	14	15	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.05	3	-18	21	15.9	14.8	1.05	14.3	14.5	-0.18
Justin Williams	8	7	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.06	3	-18	21	12.6	15.2	-2.54	15.4	14.3	1.08
Dahntay Jones	20	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-10	5	16.3	14.6	1.74	16.5	14.0	2.55
Brad Miller	74	73	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.07	-4	-11	7	14.7	15.6	-0.86	14.0	15.7	-1.76
Kenny Thomas	16	15	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	0.08	-10	-5	-5	13.6	15.2	-1.67	15.5	14.2	1.23
Quincy Douby	49	48	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.07	-7	-8	1	15.0	15.0	-0.00	14.6	14.2	0.36
Francisco Garcia	83	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.13	-14	-1	-13	15.0	14.9	0.03	14.1	16.2	-2.09
Mikki Moore	73	72	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.08	-12	-3	-9	15.4	13.8	1.56	14.3	14.8	-0.51
John Salmons	89	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.17	-10	-5	-5	14.8	16.7	-1.94	14.5	13.7	0.73
Beno Udrih	69	66	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	0.00	-19	4	-23	15.0	14.8	0.18	14.4	14.5	-0.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 98, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.6%
MEM 80, UTA 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.09,0	94.6%
ATL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	94.5%