NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	80		Excitement	5.6 [705]		MVP	Mike Miller (MEM): +22.3%
Utah Jazz	72		Comeback	1.1 [589]		LVP	Devin Brown (UTA): -16.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Miller	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.09	-0.02	11	75%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Damon Stoudamire	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.01	10	58%	0.03	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Dahntay Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	44%	0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Jake Tsakalidis	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Shane Battier	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	0.06	-0.01	7	24%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Lawrence Roberts	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	30%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Eddie Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	5	75%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	11	40%	-0.01	1	-0.03	13	62%	-0.03
Lorenzen Wright	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	41%	0.02	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.03	-0.01	18	58%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	0.00	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	14	43%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kris Humphries	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Robert Whaley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	12	36%	-0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Andre Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.08	-0.06	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Devin Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.10	-0.03	11	37%	-0.06	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	27.1	15.5	23.3	2.5	30.2	125.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +38.0%

MEM +10.3%

UTA -0.4%

MEM +1.1%

MEM +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	16.2	20.1	15.6	100.0	91.1	104.4
season	17.1	17.0		103.5	101.7
opponent	15.0	15.7		104.6	100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.7	16.0	19.1	15.2	16.2
UTA	20.3	21.9	18.8	19.2	20.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	66	65	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.20	11	-3	14	15.5	19.2	-3.67	19.1	24.4	-5.22
Damon Stoudamire	55	55	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	1	6	16.3	15.8	0.51	18.5	23.6	-5.06
Eddie Jones	55	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.23	6	2	4	16.5	15.5	0.97	19.1	22.2	-3.02
Mike Miller	50	48	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	3	2	17.0	14.9	2.06	20.8	18.9	1.86
Pau Gasol	59	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	4	0	15.5	18.2	-2.78	19.2	22.7	-3.53
Lorenzen Wright	43	43	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.07	5	3	2	16.2	16.2	-0.00	20.6	19.4	1.19
Lawrence Roberts	17	15	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	6	-4	16.2	16.2	0.06	21.7	19.7	1.98
Bobby Jackson	25	24	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.04	1	7	-6	15.8	16.3	-0.51	23.6	18.5	5.06
Jake Tsakalidis	9	10	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	7	-6	18.7	15.9	2.79	23.1	19.6	3.48
Dahntay Jones	21	21	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	10	-12	16.5	16.1	0.46	22.5	19.2	3.29

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ Miles	7	7	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.05	2	-10	12	21.1	20.0	1.18	11.6	16.6	-5.06
Kris Humphries	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-9	10	22.7	19.7	2.94	20.3	15.7	4.67
Gordan Giricek	38	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.02	-2	-6	4	19.8	20.3	-0.48	16.4	16.0	0.36
Robert Whaley	10	10	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-7	6	23.0	19.6	3.36	11.6	16.8	-5.24
Milt Palacio	27	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-8	8	22.0	19.1	2.89	17.3	15.6	1.62
Andre Owens	11	11	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.09	-2	-6	4	20.6	20.0	0.67	17.7	15.9	1.79
Jarron Collins	29	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.17	0	-8	8	19.9	20.2	-0.32	16.0	16.3	-0.36
Devin Brown	45	46	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.28	2	-10	12	20.1	20.0	0.06	16.0	16.4	-0.44
Greg Ostertag	47	47	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.05	-10	2	-12	19.5	20.8	-1.31	16.1	16.2	-0.09
Mehmet Okur	63	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.23	-6	-2	-4	19.7	21.4	-1.72	16.5	15.2	1.28
Matt Harpring	38	40	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.01	-14	6	-20	19.4	20.7	-1.29	16.2	16.1	0.12
Deron Williams	71	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	2	-12	19.6	24.0	-4.38	16.0	18.0	-2.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 99, PHI 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.02,0	94.7%
SAC 88, HOU 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.26,0.21,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0	94.7%
PHX 117, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0	94.6%