NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	99		Excitement	6.7 [503]		MVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): +22.5%
Philadelphia 76ers	92		Comeback	1.1 [858]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -28.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.16	0.06	-0.01	10	76%	0.23	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.07	0.11	0.01	14	59%	0.18	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Dwight Howard	0.10	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	17	54%	0.13	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.02
Mike Muscala	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre' Bembry	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ersan Ilyasova	-0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	0.01	10	64%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Kris Humphries	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taurean Prince	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	8	45%	0.02	4	-0.11	4	100%	0.02
Dennis Schroder	-0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.29,-0.24,-0.27,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29	-0.22	-0.07	-0.00	16	41%	-0.03	9	-0.26	2	100%	0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	5	100%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	-0.00	0.04	16	74%	0.17	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Justin Anderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.05	-0.01	9	53%	0.10	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	10	25%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nik Stauskas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	10	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
T.J. McConnell	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.06	0.01	9	65%	0.06	5	-0.16	2	100%	0.01
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.06	-0.02	10	25%	-0.08	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.09	-0.08	0.01	18	37%	-0.10	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.7	28.2	15.6	32.2	2.5	33.6	136.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +21.6%

ATL +13.3%

ATL +7.2%

ATL +2.4%

ATL +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	15.6	15.1	14.8	105.3	97.9	107.7
season	14.4	14.5		104.2	101.9
opponent	14.4	14.9		107.6	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	16.1	17.6	13.5	15.6	15.6
PHI	15.9	18.4	13.6	13.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dennis Schroder	74	75	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.27	10	-3	13	15.2	17.1	-1.92	14.7	16.4	-1.65
Ersan Ilyasova	62	62	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.23	10	-3	13	15.9	15.0	0.84	16.0	13.1	2.92
Dwight Howard	68	69	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-3	13	16.0	14.6	1.39	16.3	11.7	4.60
Kent Bazemore	39	39	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.18	9	-2	11	15.7	15.5	0.18	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Tim Hardaway Jr.	71	70	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.24	3	4	-1	15.8	15.0	0.72	15.6	13.6	1.97
Taurean Prince	73	74	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	7	-7	14.8	18.3	-3.48	13.9	19.5	-5.65
DeAndre' Bembry	8	7	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.06	1	6	-5	18.0	15.4	2.64	22.9	14.4	8.43
Kris Humphries	23	24	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	9	-11	15.3	15.7	-0.31	11.8	16.2	-4.32
Mike Muscala	32	31	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	10	-13	15.0	15.9	-0.84	13.4	15.9	-2.44
Jose Calderon	20	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	10	-13	17.1	15.2	1.92	16.4	14.7	1.65

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Anderson	52	52	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.06	1	-8	9	14.4	15.8	-1.41	15.3	16.0	-0.71
Shawn Long	33	32	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.10	1	-8	9	13.3	16.0	-2.70	15.9	15.4	0.53
Nik Stauskas	71	73	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.23	1	-8	9	14.5	16.9	-2.46	15.4	16.3	-0.90
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-1	-5	15.1	15.0	0.08	16.0	14.8	1.22
Gerald Henderson	43	43	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-4	1	14.8	15.3	-0.44	15.4	15.8	-0.39
Richaun Holmes	61	62	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.19	-8	1	-9	16.0	13.3	2.70	15.4	15.9	-0.53
Dario Saric	75	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.23	-7	0	-7	15.9	11.7	4.16	16.1	13.7	2.32
T.J. McConnell	72	71	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.32	-14	7	-21	15.3	14.1	1.26	15.3	16.5	-1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.25,0.21,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.24,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.22,0.15,0.04,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 111, PHI 103	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.32,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.07,0.01,0,0	95.0%
MIA 91, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.19,0.11,0.19,0.13,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.1,0	94.8%
MEM 80, UTA 72	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.37,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.18,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.25,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.02,0.09,0	94.7%