NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	98		Excitement	5.3 [773]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +16.3%
Boston Celtics	83		Comeback	1.2 [604]		LVP	Sebastian Telfair (BOS): -8.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.08	0.08	-0.01	11	64%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.03	0.07	15	74%	0.23	3	-0.12	12	75%	-0.03
Kevin Ollie	0.09	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.01	9	67%	0.11	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Rodney Carney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Alan Henderson	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Willie Green	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	14	39%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	-0.03	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.06	-0.00	17	54%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Delonte West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.00	-0.01	9	70%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allan Ray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.06	1	0%	-0.00	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Jefferson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.03	-0.05	0.03	17	51%	0.04	2	-0.08	5	80%	-0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	11	50%	0.07	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	6	50%	0.01	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.03
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.03	-0.04	8	38%	-0.03	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	31.4	15.5	21.9	2.0	35.3	134.1
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +48.5%

BOS -26.3%

PHI +5.4%

PHI +15.2%

PHI +7.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	BOS	NBA	PHI	BOS	NBA
this game	17.9	15.8	15.4	114.0	97.6	104.5
season	15.5	15.5		101.7	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.7		105.2	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.3	18.3	18.4	16.7	17.9
BOS	16.0	16.0	16.8	14.5	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Iguodala	77	78	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.06	21	-6	27	17.6	20.6	-2.97	15.7	17.0	-1.33
Samuel Dalembert	66	63	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.27	6	9	-3	18.5	15.9	2.53	15.9	15.3	0.62
Alan Henderson	46	45	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.16	7	8	-1	18.0	17.8	0.23	17.6	13.7	3.92
Willie Green	75	72	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.08	8	7	1	18.1	16.7	1.34	15.3	18.3	-2.99
Kevin Ollie	68	64	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.17	4	11	-7	18.4	15.8	2.61	15.6	16.2	-0.61
Lou Williams	18	21	0.22	0.28	-0.07	-0.11	11	4	7	15.8	18.4	-2.61	16.2	15.6	0.61
Kyle Korver	41	41	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.05	8	7	1	17.7	18.1	-0.36	14.7	16.8	-2.11
Bobby Jones	2	1	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.00	2	13	-11	23.5	17.8	5.74	8.0	15.9	-7.87
Steven Hunter	16	18	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.04	3	12	-9	16.9	18.1	-1.18	16.2	15.7	0.57
Rodney Carney	21	22	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.12	5	10	-5	16.9	18.2	-1.31	15.5	15.9	-0.43

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brian Scalabrine	11	12	0.08	-0.58	0.65	-0.10	6	-21	27	15.8	15.8	0.05	19.3	17.7	1.67
Sebastian Telfair	53	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-10	5	15.7	15.8	-0.11	18.2	17.4	0.78
Leon Powe	9	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.18	-12	-3	-9	14.7	15.9	-1.24	13.6	18.3	-4.71
Allan Ray	10	9	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.24	-14	-1	-13	15.2	15.9	-0.65	12.8	18.5	-5.72
Rajon Rondo	16	14	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.26	-18	3	-21	13.7	16.2	-2.50	14.9	18.5	-3.54
Ryan Gomes	67	69	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-14	13	16.3	14.0	2.25	18.1	17.0	1.12
Delonte West	50	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.13	-7	-8	1	15.6	16.0	-0.33	17.9	17.9	-0.08
Gerald Green	71	72	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.09	-9	-6	-3	16.0	14.7	1.27	18.0	17.4	0.56
Al Jefferson	68	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.28	-4	-11	7	15.8	15.8	-0.06	18.6	14.9	3.71
Tony Allen	70	71	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	-4	-7	15.9	15.1	0.86	18.2	16.5	1.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 116, VAN 106	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.29,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.29,0.26,0.22,0.24,0.33,0.29,0.25,0.31,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.13,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.31,0.29,0.22,0.07,0.08,0.01,0,0	94.8%
UTA 96, LAL 92	0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0	94.8%
PHX 117, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.38,0.27,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.2,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.2,0.25,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.29,0.1,0.07,0,0,0,0	94.6%