NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	96		Excitement	5.9 [605]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +10.5%
Los Angeles Lakers	92		Comeback	1.4 [428]		LVP	Shaquille O'Neal (LAL): -8.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.09,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.01	20	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	15	93%	0.09
Chris Morris	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	11	56%	0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Greg Ostertag	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Foster	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	3	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	1	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	5	90%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
John Stockton	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	4	57%	0.04	3	-0.11	6	100%	0.06

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eddie Jones	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	-0.01	16	56%	0.09	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	86%	0.04	3	-0.07	3	67%	-0.00
Nick Van Exel	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	8	55%	-0.01	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	1	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Elden Campbell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	7	28%	-0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Derek Fisher	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	7	21%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,0.02,-0.09	-0.09	0.07	-0.12	0.03	24	58%	-0.09	0	0.00	18	56%	-0.16

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.5	28.2	18.3	27.6	3.4	43.4	148.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +26.6%

UTA +29.4%

UTA +3.9%

LAL -13.0%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	LAL	NBA	UTA	LAL	NBA
this game	18.3	16.5	15.6	115.7	112.2	102.5
season	15.9	14.8		108.1	110.0
opponent	15.6	15.9		102.6	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.4	17.6	19.0	18.4	18.3
LAL	15.7	20.3	15.3	15.2	16.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	74	72	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.36	7	-3	10	18.1	20.2	-2.10	16.0	20.4	-4.41
Jeff Hornacek	60	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	2	0	17.8	19.7	-1.92	14.6	21.6	-7.01
Bryon Russell	63	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	3	-2	17.9	19.8	-1.91	14.6	22.1	-7.49
Greg Ostertag	52	51	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	-4	12	19.0	17.3	1.64	15.7	17.8	-2.11
John Stockton	49	47	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	4	-4	17.8	19.2	-1.40	16.0	17.2	-1.23
Chris Morris	22	23	0.17	0.33	-0.15	0.03	5	-1	6	18.7	18.2	0.51	21.1	14.7	6.40
Howard Eisley	34	35	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	0	4	19.2	17.8	1.40	17.2	16.0	1.23
Shandon Anderson	23	23	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	2	0	19.7	17.8	1.92	21.6	14.6	7.01
Antoine Carr	20	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.20	-4	8	-12	19.8	17.9	1.91	20.6	14.9	5.68
Greg Foster	18	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	9	-14	17.1	18.7	-1.65	16.3	16.6	-0.26

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Horry	35	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.04	-3	-1	-2	19.5	14.3	5.17	18.0	18.7	-0.68
Derek Fisher	28	31	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.06	-3	-1	-2	19.0	15.2	3.81	19.4	17.7	1.66
Kobe Bryant	35	33	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.23	0	-4	4	16.2	16.8	-0.62	17.7	18.8	-1.08
Elden Campbell	25	23	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.08	-7	3	-10	15.1	17.1	-2.02	15.8	19.3	-3.49
Rick Fox	49	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-3	2	15.8	17.6	-1.86	18.0	19.0	-0.97
Shaquille O'Neal	63	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-5	6	16.7	16.0	0.68	19.2	14.9	4.29
Nick Van Exel	54	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-3	2	15.2	19.0	-3.81	17.7	19.4	-1.66
Corie Blount	41	40	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	3	-10	16.4	16.7	-0.27	20.1	16.7	3.33
Eddie Jones	80	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.40	1	-5	6	16.2	28.5	-12.27	18.2	23.3	-5.17

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.3,0.21,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 76, MIA 64	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.36,0.41,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.17,0.08,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
PHI 98, BOS 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.15,0.21,0.19,0.14,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.8%
HOU 74, PHI 66	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.24,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%