NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	5.9 [610]		MVP	Tyronn Lue (WAS): +29.0%
Portland Trail Blazers	91		Comeback	1.0 [297]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (POR): -19.4%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyronn Lue	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29	0.13	0.16	-0.00	14	70%	0.29	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Michael Jordan	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	19	60%	0.14	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Jahidi White	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Christian Laettner	0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	22	50%	0.08	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.02
Brendan Haywood	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.03	12	62%	0.13	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	10	59%	0.04	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.02
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	0.01	0.04	10	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	10	70%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	9	22%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	12	42%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.04
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	5	67%	0.06	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.02
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	27%	-0.05	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.12	-0.07	0.00	9	29%	-0.14	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.10

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	23.2	16.0	23.2	2.5	35.5	126.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +43.6%

WAS +0.8%

POR -11.7%

WAS +17.3%

POR -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	POR	NBA	WAS	POR	NBA
this game	17.8	15.3	15.5	109.2	104.6	101.6
season	16.5	16.0		100.9	104.3
opponent	15.7	15.5		101.8	101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	17.6	20.1	17.4	17.8
POR	19.0	14.3	14.9	13.3	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerry Stackhouse	69	70	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.29	8	-4	12	17.5	19.1	-1.65	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Michael Jordan	72	74	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.35	6	-2	8	18.1	16.2	1.94	15.6	13.7	1.89
Tyronn Lue	69	70	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.34	5	-1	6	17.8	17.8	-0.04	15.8	13.4	2.42
Christian Laettner	73	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.41	1	3	-2	18.3	15.2	3.09	15.2	15.7	-0.55
Jahidi White	50	50	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	-2	8	18.3	17.1	1.16	16.0	14.4	1.65
Brendan Haywood	31	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.11	4	0	4	17.2	18.1	-0.90	15.1	15.4	-0.36
Bobby Simmons	13	13	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.12	-1	5	-6	16.0	18.1	-2.12	12.2	15.9	-3.70
Kwame Brown	19	19	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.03	0	4	-4	16.4	18.2	-1.84	15.6	15.2	0.36
Larry Hughes	39	37	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.10	-9	13	-22	18.0	17.6	0.35	14.4	15.9	-1.51

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Randolph	34	34	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.14	7	-11	18	15.4	15.2	0.14	18.3	17.5	0.76
Antonio Daniels	22	20	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.01	-2	-2	0	15.9	15.1	0.82	15.8	18.4	-2.60
Jeff McInnis	40	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.35	9	-13	22	13.8	16.5	-2.68	16.5	18.9	-2.43
Arvydas Sabonis	50	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.36	6	-10	16	14.0	17.1	-3.10	16.9	19.0	-2.08
Bonzi Wells	57	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.45	9	-13	22	14.0	17.8	-3.87	18.3	16.9	1.33
Dale Davis	36	38	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.05	-10	6	-16	17.4	13.8	3.57	19.0	16.9	2.08
Derek Anderson	48	50	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.14	-8	4	-12	16.1	14.3	1.75	18.1	17.5	0.60
Damon Stoudamire	47	48	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.04	-13	9	-22	16.5	13.8	2.68	18.9	16.5	2.43
Rasheed Wallace	60	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.31	-4	0	-4	15.1	15.7	-0.53	17.8	17.8	-0.06
Ruben Patterson	41	39	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.09	-14	10	-24	15.9	14.8	1.05	17.5	18.1	-0.62

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.34,0.23,0.07,0.07,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 118, POR 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.27,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.21,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.23,0.29,0.29,0.39,0.32,0.11,0.1,0.01,0	94.0%
BOS 101, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.08,0	94.0%
PHX 105, POR 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	94.0%