NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	105		Excitement	5.8 [643]		MVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): +12.8%
Portland Trail Blazers	96		Comeback	1.1 [541]		LVP	Zach Randolph (POR): -23.1%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.00	15	66%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0.07	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	16	61%	0.08	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
Jake Voskuhl	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	9	80%	0.11	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Antonio McDyess	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jahidi White	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	9	40%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Zarko Cabarkapa	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.02	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.02	0.02	17	58%	0.06	5	-0.14	4	50%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Person	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ruben Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.02	0.03	12	70%	0.08	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.04
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	61%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Vladimir Stepania	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Derek Anderson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	7	61%	0.02	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.05	0.02	6	43%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.01	5	50%	-0.02	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Qyntel Woods	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.00	9	22%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.15	-0.08	0.01	22	46%	-0.03	7	-0.20	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	1.8	26.0	15.6	27.2	1.8	34.3	134.7
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +35.1%

PHX +8.9%

POR -3.8%

PHX +8.7%

PHX +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	POR	NBA	PHX	POR	NBA
this game	13.8	17.5	15.7	114.1	104.3	100.5
season	14.6	17.1		99.6	101.5
opponent	15.7	15.9		103.2	103.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.7	13.1	15.4	13.3	13.8
POR	18.2	19.0	17.4	15.5	17.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	76	75	0.75	-0.25	0.99	0.16	20	-11	31	13.2	16.8	-3.60	17.8	15.9	1.94
Joe Johnson	82	81	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.15	16	-7	23	13.5	16.6	-3.10	17.6	16.2	1.46
Leandro Barbosa	52	52	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.03	20	-11	31	11.6	16.8	-5.24	18.1	16.6	1.53
Jake Voskuhl	73	72	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.14	16	-7	23	12.9	17.4	-4.45	17.8	16.3	1.49
Amar'e Stoudemire	64	65	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.12	8	1	7	14.2	13.0	1.25	18.1	16.0	2.08
Donnell Harvey	17	18	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.05	-1	10	-11	16.1	13.3	2.73	16.4	17.7	-1.27
Antonio McDyess	4	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.01	0	9	-9	17.7	13.7	4.09	14.2	17.6	-3.36
Jahidi White	5	5	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.03	-4	13	-17	18.0	13.6	4.40	18.0	17.4	0.56
Casey Jacobsen	28	30	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.16	-9	18	-27	15.8	13.0	2.85	15.4	18.5	-3.12
Howard Eisley	36	36	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	0.20	-11	20	-31	16.7	12.0	4.69	15.8	18.5	-2.73
Zarko Cabarkapa	23	22	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.15	-10	19	-29	14.0	13.8	0.22	18.0	17.3	0.76

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	33	33	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.18	10	-19	29	17.7	17.4	0.31	14.2	13.6	0.63
Vladimir Stepania	18	18	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.10	7	-16	23	17.2	17.5	-0.37	16.9	13.1	3.86
Jeff McInnis	47	46	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.27	11	-20	31	16.8	18.2	-1.39	14.6	13.1	1.50
Ruben Patterson	59	57	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.28	6	-15	21	15.9	20.2	-4.23	15.4	11.2	4.21
Qyntel Woods	31	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	5	-19	20.9	15.7	5.23	11.4	15.2	-3.86
Zach Randolph	78	78	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.18	-11	2	-13	17.6	16.6	1.06	13.8	14.2	-0.45
Derek Anderson	73	73	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.08	-15	6	-21	17.2	18.4	-1.14	13.7	14.2	-0.47
Dale Davis	60	60	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.05	-18	9	-27	17.9	16.6	1.29	13.0	15.5	-2.50
Damon Stoudamire	61	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.87	-0.07	-21	12	-33	17.3	17.8	-0.46	13.0	15.5	-2.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 101, WAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.05,0	94.7%
DET 93, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.48,0.39,0.38,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.12,0.15,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,0,0,0	94.0%
BOS 101, CHI 95	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.29,0.18,0.3,0.27,0.18,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.11,0.16,0.1,0.08,0	94.0%