inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 101 Excitement6.4 [314] MVPPaul Pierce (BOS): +11.3%
Washington Wizards 98 Comeback1.0 [320] LVPWalter McCarty (BOS): -21.6%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Paul Pierce0.110,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.090.02-0.001572%0.183-0.076100%0.03
Dana Barros0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.05-0.060.07-0.04661%0.104-0.056100%0.03
Greg Minor0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03-0.020.03-0.021059%0.093-0.05250%-0.02
Vitaly Potapenko0.030,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.03-0.030.070.011447%0.051-0.02475%0.04
Tony Battie0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.03-0.010.00671%0.051-0.03580%0.01
Antoine Walker-0.010,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00460%0.011-0.0220%-0.02
Marlon Garnett-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.00133%-0.041-0.02450%-0.02
Dwayne Schintzius-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.0230%-0.042-0.0300%0.00
Damon Jones-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.11-0.01-0.0370%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Walter McCarty-0.220,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.22-0.06-0.17-0.011446%-0.201-0.02729%-0.25

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rod Strickland0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.050.050.030.030.011569%0.144-0.091587%0.08
Mitch Richmond0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.020.020.000.02-0.001255%0.041-0.01786%0.03
Tim Legler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.000.01-0.01650%0.0200.00250%-0.01
Ben Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00350%-0.0300.0060%-0.08
John Coker0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Tracy Murray0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.01744%-0.022-0.034100%0.03
Jeff McInnis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Calbert Cheaney0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.07-0.02-0.00737%-0.042-0.042100%0.01
Chris Whitney0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.12-0.120.06-0.170.01679%-0.091-0.022100%0.00
Otis Thorpe0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.20-0.05-0.041433%-0.096-0.1220%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.31.827.415.323.62.450.5147.5
league avg26.93.042.016.026.32.245.7163.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +47.7%
WAS -19.8%
BOS +14.2%
BOS +6.8%
BOS +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSWASNBABOSWASNBA
this game14.213.615.897.195.199.6
season15.015.598.198.8
opponent15.915.8101.3100.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS11.416.015.914.714.2
WAS12.216.015.411.413.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paul Pierce91920.59-0.090.670.2910-71714.413.11.3313.811.91.87
Tony Battie44440.420.080.340.3912-115.113.61.4312.414.5-2.13
Greg Minor91880.310.190.130.52-710-1713.817.2-3.3313.215.9-2.67
Walter McCarty68670.300.200.110.39-36-915.012.82.1513.413.9-0.43
Dwayne Schintzius28270.290.210.070.087-41115.813.72.1115.712.82.87
Dana Barros78780.250.25-0.010.36-47-1113.416.7-3.2213.214.8-1.55
Damon Jones28280.150.35-0.190.044-1515.713.72.0713.913.50.38
Antoine Walker14140.150.35-0.21-0.129-6159.914.9-5.0713.813.60.24
Marlon Garnett28270.120.38-0.260.0621114.914.00.8413.613.6-0.04
Vitaly Potapenko5050-0.070.57-0.650.04-47-1113.415.0-1.6614.412.81.63

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jeff McInnis23230.10-0.600.70-0.2211-142515.013.21.7713.814.4-0.59
Tim Legler2830-0.02-0.480.46-0.5217-203713.213.7-0.5113.614.5-0.85
Chris Whitney2427-0.05-0.450.40-0.257-101713.613.60.0613.014.7-1.68
John Coker76-0.08-0.420.35-0.05-1-2117.013.33.6712.514.3-1.85
Calbert Cheaney7071-0.21-0.290.09-0.03-63-914.012.61.3915.012.62.44
Ben Wallace6262-0.24-0.260.02-0.04-74-1115.011.53.5214.813.51.28
Otis Thorpe8484-0.25-0.25-0.00-0.02-85-1312.717.5-4.8414.214.3-0.07
Tracy Murray5354-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.521-4513.014.2-1.2814.513.90.58
Rod Strickland9190-0.580.08-0.66-0.26-118-1913.017.8-4.8114.115.3-1.21
Mitch Richmond7373-0.690.19-0.88-0.16-1815-3313.513.8-0.2614.114.7-0.62


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.1,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.04,0.01,0.05,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHX 105, POR 960.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.29,0.3,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.23,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,094.7%
PHI 96, TOR 840.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,094.0%
UTA 90, NOH 780.5,0.49,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.29,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,093.8%