NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	4.2 [958]		MVP	Derrick Coleman (PHI): +11.8%
Toronto Raptors	84		Comeback	1.0 [829]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -10.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Coleman	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	0.00	13	64%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	76%	0.08	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	5	62%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Raja Bell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Jones	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0	50%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Derrick McKey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	0.01	37	50%	0.04	3	-0.07	10	100%	0.05
Eric Snow	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	6	61%	0.02	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	-0.01	0.03	13	72%	0.10	3	-0.08	10	80%	-0.01
Michael Stewart	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	100%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	11	55%	-0.00	1	-0.02	9	89%	0.02
Jerome Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.11	-0.01	-0.05	10	46%	-0.02	4	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	1	50%	-0.02	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	16	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	9	30%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.1	2.5	36.3	18.7	28.0	1.7	35.3	147.6
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +29.9%

PHI +6.1%

PHI +5.2%

PHI +10.3%

TOR -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	TOR	NBA	PHI	TOR	NBA
this game	15.7	16.8	15.6	107.9	95.5	102.3
season	15.9	16.2		99.3	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		100.9	98.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.2	15.3	17.6	13.2	15.7
TOR	15.5	18.1	16.7	16.9	16.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Snow	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.47	-0.10	20	-8	28	16.3	14.5	1.75	16.2	18.2	-2.00
Allen Iverson	81	79	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.01	14	-2	16	16.0	13.6	2.33	17.0	15.4	1.52
Derrick Coleman	67	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.00	14	-2	16	16.4	13.6	2.86	16.9	16.3	0.59
Dikembe Mutombo	73	71	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.01	14	-2	16	16.1	14.0	2.12	16.6	17.8	-1.26
Matt Harpring	63	63	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.10	10	2	8	16.4	14.2	2.24	16.3	18.1	-1.78
Derrick McKey	47	46	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	6	0	14.3	17.4	-3.15	17.5	16.0	1.45
Speedy Claxton	32	32	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	15	-18	14.8	16.3	-1.45	17.5	16.4	1.04
Raja Bell	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	11.3	15.9	-4.56	13.0	16.9	-3.94
Alvin Jones	3	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	11.3	15.9	-4.56	13.0	16.9	-3.94
Corie Blount	13	12	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.13	-5	17	-22	12.7	16.3	-3.57	19.6	16.4	3.21

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Stewart	1	1	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-14	16	12.0	16.9	-4.86	6.0	15.9	-9.85
Keon Clark	34	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-16	20	17.7	16.3	1.42	14.6	16.4	-1.80
Jerome Williams	24	25	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.01	-3	-9	6	16.9	16.8	0.09	14.8	16.1	-1.37
Jermaine Jackson	29	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-13	14	16.5	16.9	-0.43	14.5	16.4	-1.87
Alvin Williams	72	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.01	-13	1	-14	16.9	16.4	0.45	16.0	14.7	1.21
Hakeem Olajuwon	69	69	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.06	-11	-1	-10	16.5	17.9	-1.45	16.1	14.4	1.67
Vince Carter	70	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.10	-17	5	-22	16.9	16.4	0.46	16.1	14.4	1.68
Morris Peterson	70	70	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.30	-6	-6	0	16.5	17.9	-1.36	16.1	14.3	1.81
Antonio Davis	71	74	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.01	-17	5	-22	17.0	16.2	0.78	15.9	14.7	1.21

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, UTA 80	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.07,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.4%
SAS 108, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.29,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	95.0%
DET 103, POR 93	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%