NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	108		Excitement	5.8 [637]		MVP	Danny Green (SAS): +21.7%
Sacramento Kings	102		Comeback	1.0 [1261]		LVP	John Salmons (SAC): -13.3%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Green	0.22	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.06	0.03	11	95%	0.26	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.00	0.00	3	91%	0.12	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Tony Parker	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	20	58%	0.20	7	-0.12	12	83%	0.02
Patty Mills	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.03	-0.02	2	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	60%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	11	54%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.01	8	45%	0.03	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	2	67%	0.00	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Nando De Colo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gary Neal	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Matt Bonner	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.00	0.04	10	79%	0.14	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Jason Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.05	-0.02	10	48%	0.10	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	12	42%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.04	16	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.05	15	53%	-0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	8	46%	0.03	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.03
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	5	40%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.07	-0.05	0.02	6	43%	-0.04	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.6	27.4	14.8	33.2	1.7	30.2	135.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +46.5%

SAS +10.2%

SAS +3.3%

SAC -11.3%

SAS +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	SAC	NBA	SAS	SAC	NBA
this game	14.5	13.9	15.4	106.9	100.0	104.1
season	15.2	15.0		106.4	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.1		109.4	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	13.0	14.0	12.9	18.8	14.5
SAC	14.7	15.3	11.9	14.0	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	77	78	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.26	9	-3	12	13.7	17.0	-3.24	13.4	15.5	-2.05
Danny Green	66	68	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.23	8	-2	10	14.2	15.0	-0.79	13.9	13.8	0.10
Tiago Splitter	45	46	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-5	16	12.9	15.7	-2.84	14.7	13.2	1.42
Kawhi Leonard	63	64	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.23	4	2	2	14.4	14.6	-0.23	14.2	13.4	0.71
Tim Duncan	58	59	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	0	6	15.3	13.4	1.94	13.7	14.1	-0.43
Manu Ginobili	40	40	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.24	-2	8	-10	16.0	13.5	2.55	12.2	15.0	-2.83
Matt Bonner	26	25	0.17	0.33	-0.17	0.08	3	3	0	13.5	14.8	-1.33	13.8	13.9	-0.12
Boris Diaw	57	56	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.16	0	6	-6	14.6	14.3	0.34	13.8	14.0	-0.20
Patty Mills	9	8	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.04	0	6	-6	14.8	14.5	0.32	15.1	13.8	1.34
Gary Neal	38	38	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.11	-3	9	-12	14.8	14.3	0.45	14.1	13.7	0.38
Nando De Colo	16	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.04	-3	9	-12	17.3	14.0	3.36	15.4	13.6	1.82
DeJuan Blair	10	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	9	-12	14.8	14.5	0.35	16.2	13.6	2.56

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Robinson	19	19	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-11	16	15.1	13.6	1.43	17.7	13.7	3.94
Francisco Garcia	24	24	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.10	5	-11	16	16.9	13.0	3.90	16.7	13.8	2.86
Charles Hayes	41	40	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-10	14	15.1	13.1	2.06	16.1	13.4	2.76
Marcus Thornton	45	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.31	8	-14	22	14.6	13.3	1.27	17.7	12.0	5.79
Isaiah Thomas	71	72	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-3	0	12.8	16.5	-3.68	13.4	17.2	-3.77
Jimmer Fredette	39	36	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.29	0	-6	6	14.9	13.3	1.59	17.8	12.6	5.16
John Salmons	65	65	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.03	-13	7	-20	13.3	14.9	-1.61	12.6	18.0	-5.42
DeMarcus Cousins	61	61	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	4	-14	13.1	15.1	-2.06	13.4	16.1	-2.76
Tyreke Evans	70	69	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.20	-12	6	-18	13.0	15.9	-2.98	13.5	16.7	-3.22
Jason Thompson	75	75	-0.56	0.06	-0.61	-0.15	-14	8	-22	14.1	13.2	0.96	13.1	18.4	-5.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.29,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 90, UTA 80	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.28,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.21,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.22,0.21,0.14,0.25,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.2,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.07,0,0,0.01,0,0	95.2%
PHI 96, TOR 84	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.27,0.34,0.21,0.25,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.16,0.21,0.17,0.08,0.06,0.15,0.16,0.14,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.13,0.06,0.14,0.16,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIN 90, DAL 82	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.08,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.01,0	94.5%