NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	115		Excitement	9.7 [90]		MVP	Andrew Wiggins (MIN): +95.6%
Oklahoma City Thunder	113		Comeback	2.6 [378]		LVP	Paul George (OKC): -20.1%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Wiggins	0.96	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.96	0.07	0.87	-0.01	20	56%	0.98	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.44	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.44	0.12	0.31	-0.01	17	73%	0.53	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Jeff Teague	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.12	0.01	10	68%	0.25	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.08
Nemanja Bjelica	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	1	150%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	17	44%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shabazz Muhammad	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0	50%	0.00	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Gorgui Dieng	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.14	0.00	-0.14	0.01	7	79%	0.01	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.66	0.66	0.06	0.58	-0.02	19	56%	0.70	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Russell Westbrook	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,0.05,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.57	0.57	0.11	0.45	-0.01	24	60%	0.64	2	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Steven Adams	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.09	0.02	12	68%	0.24	2	-0.09	1	100%	0.02
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.02	0.02	5	80%	0.11	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Alex Abrines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	2	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Raymond Felton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.02	0.01	7	86%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Huestis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Patterson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Roberson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	0.01	20	34%	-0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	27.4	14.0	28.1	2.4	36.1	132.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +15.3%

MIN +13.5%

MIN +31.7%

OKC -14.5%

MIN +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	OKC	NBA	MIN	OKC	NBA
this game	15.3	12.9	14.7	111.7	111.9	107.5
season	15.3	14.2		111.8	109.4
opponent	15.3	14.4		106.1	110.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	15.4	16.2	14.4	15.2	15.3
OKC	14.6	13.1	13.2	11.1	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	84	81	0.86	-0.36	1.22	0.42	15	-13	28	15.4	14.9	0.42	13.4	10.8	2.64
Taj Gibson	70	68	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.11	21	-19	40	15.6	14.5	1.10	13.6	11.5	2.09
Jeff Teague	82	82	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.31	14	-12	26	15.4	14.9	0.49	13.0	12.4	0.68
Jimmy Butler	83	82	0.65	-0.15	0.79	0.35	10	-8	18	15.4	14.8	0.55	13.0	12.4	0.68
Karl-Anthony Towns	75	76	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.38	2	0	2	15.5	14.8	0.69	12.9	13.0	-0.11
Gorgui Dieng	28	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.06	0	2	-2	14.8	15.5	-0.69	13.0	12.9	0.11
Nemanja Bjelica	20	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.09	-8	10	-18	14.8	15.4	-0.55	12.4	13.0	-0.68
Tyus Jones	21	19	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.14	-12	14	-26	14.9	15.4	-0.49	12.4	13.0	-0.68
Jamal Crawford	34	35	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	0.33	-19	21	-40	14.7	15.6	-0.92	11.6	13.6	-1.98
Shabazz Muhammad	18	18	-0.36	0.86	-1.22	0.02	-13	15	-28	14.7	15.4	-0.69	10.5	13.4	-2.95

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Raymond Felton	41	41	0.60	-1.10	1.70	-0.08	23	-25	48	11.8	13.7	-1.84	15.0	15.5	-0.40
Jerami Grant	40	43	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.12	7	-9	16	12.3	13.3	-0.95	14.9	15.5	-0.62
Alex Abrines	31	33	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.32	13	-15	28	12.0	13.3	-1.33	14.1	15.9	-1.81
Carmelo Anthony	80	81	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.47	12	-14	26	12.7	13.9	-1.24	15.5	14.7	0.77
Josh Huestis	29	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-3	4	12.1	13.2	-1.10	15.2	15.4	-0.20
Patrick Patterson	12	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.05	-6	4	-10	13.6	12.8	0.75	14.0	15.5	-1.46
Paul George	80	80	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.35	-4	2	-6	12.9	13.0	-0.04	15.4	14.9	0.49
Andre Roberson	43	43	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.09	-22	20	-42	14.8	11.5	3.30	15.9	14.9	0.98
Steven Adams	73	73	-0.83	0.33	-1.16	-0.33	-17	15	-32	13.3	11.9	1.47	15.5	14.7	0.79
Russell Westbrook	76	77	-0.85	0.35	-1.19	-0.35	-17	15	-32	13.2	12.1	1.12	15.6	14.4	1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 113, BKN 107	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.39,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.34,0.44,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.26,0.2,0.24,0.27,0.32,0.26,0.14,0.2,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.09,0.11,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.13,0.23,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	93.5%
NOH 88, NYK 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.35,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.26,0.35,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.2,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.27,0.19,0.29,0.33,0.28,0	93.5%
TOR 115, PHX 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.24,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.19,0.25,0.36,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.02,0	93.4%