NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	115		Excitement	6.9 [467]		MVP	Troy Daniels (PHX): +39.5%
Phoenix Suns	109		Comeback	1.4 [1182]		LVP	Mike James (PHX): -16.0%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Serge Ibaka	0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.19	0.05	0.01	11	87%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0.20	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.19	0.15	0.02	-0.02	24	59%	0.21	1	-0.01	15	87%	0.05
Kyle Lowry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	-0.00	0.07	0.01	12	43%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
OG Anunoby	0.06	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	6	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	62%	-0.02
Jakob Poeltl	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	8	31%	-0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.09	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.39	0.39	0.32	0.08	0.01	16	91%	0.39	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Tyler Ulis	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.01	0.01	8	80%	0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	5	69%	0.08	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.02	11	61%	0.06	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Danuel House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dragan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	6	42%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Marquese Chriss	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	3	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.06
TJ Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.03	15	45%	-0.05	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.04
Josh Jackson	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	7	12%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Mike James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.10	-0.05	0.01	9	35%	-0.08	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.3	24.8	14.0	27.2	1.7	40.3	136.8
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +9.7%

TOR +3.9%

TOR +21.3%

TOR +13.0%

TOR +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHX	NBA	TOR	PHX	NBA
this game	14.6	14.5	14.7	115.0	111.2	107.5
season	14.6	14.2		112.7	102.6
opponent	14.3	14.8		111.8	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	12.5	14.5	14.1	17.5	14.6
PHX	15.2	16.2	14.2	12.5	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Serge Ibaka	72	71	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.25	18	-12	30	14.5	14.7	-0.21	13.8	16.4	-2.64
DeMar DeRozan	79	76	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.20	18	-12	30	14.0	16.7	-2.67	14.1	16.1	-2.07
Jonas Valanciunas	65	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.16	16	-10	26	15.0	13.7	1.30	13.5	16.5	-3.06
Kyle Lowry	73	71	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.27	12	-6	18	14.8	14.0	0.77	13.6	17.0	-3.36
OG Anunoby	40	41	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.02	12	-6	18	14.0	14.9	-0.93	14.9	14.3	0.60
Lorenzo Brown	4	4	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.05	0	6	-6	13.7	14.6	-0.84	18.0	14.4	3.62
Fred VanVleet	50	48	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.27	-9	15	-24	15.1	14.0	1.08	14.4	14.7	-0.35
CJ Miles	35	34	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.03	-1	7	-8	14.6	14.5	0.06	16.1	13.7	2.39
Jakob Poeltl	35	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.16	-10	16	-26	13.7	15.0	-1.30	16.5	13.5	3.06
Pascal Siakam	28	27	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	0.08	-12	18	-30	14.7	14.5	0.21	16.4	13.8	2.64
Norman Powell	19	20	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.13	-14	20	-34	15.9	14.2	1.71	15.9	14.2	1.78

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike James	37	38	0.17	-0.67	0.85	-0.15	11	-17	28	15.9	13.7	2.27	14.1	14.9	-0.78
Alex Len	36	36	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.16	9	-15	24	15.5	14.0	1.53	14.0	14.9	-0.92
Danuel House	38	40	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.16	8	-14	22	16.0	13.6	2.40	14.7	14.5	0.23
Dragan Bender	55	57	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-11	16	15.2	13.7	1.57	14.8	14.3	0.53
Troy Daniels	66	67	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.27	6	-12	18	14.1	15.4	-1.30	14.6	14.4	0.20
Marquese Chriss	36	36	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.12	-9	3	-12	14.6	14.5	0.08	15.1	14.2	0.90
TJ Warren	51	52	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	-0.11	-12	6	-18	14.2	14.9	-0.74	14.0	15.2	-1.21
Greg Monroe	62	64	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.17	-15	9	-24	14.0	15.5	-1.53	14.9	14.0	0.92
Josh Jackson	47	47	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.16	-16	10	-26	13.7	15.3	-1.67	14.6	14.6	-0.01
Tyler Ulis	62	63	-0.67	0.17	-0.85	-0.18	-17	11	-28	13.5	16.2	-2.67	14.6	14.4	0.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.5,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.24,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.29,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.06,0.19,0.25,0.36,0.23,0.21,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 115, OKC 113	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.28,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.56,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.23,0.21,0.35,0.26,0.16,0.1,0.16,0.1,0.06,0.12,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.16,0.22,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0	93.4%
CLE 86, PHX 73	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0	93.0%
ATL 113, CHI 108	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0	92.9%