NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	113		Excitement	6.2 [588]		MVP	Maurice Evans (ATL): +22.3%
Chicago Bulls	108		Comeback	1.6 [431]		LVP	Tyrus Thomas (CHI): -16.8%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Evans	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.22,0.22	0.17	0.06	-0.00	9	94%	0.22	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.12	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.06	0.05	-0.01	18	61%	0.20	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Marvin Williams	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.01	9	59%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Al Horford	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.01	18	55%	0.11	2	-0.06	13	69%	0.02
Mario West	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othello Hunter	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Murray	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	36%	-0.01	2	-0.03	4	75%	0.00
Joe Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	16	40%	0.00	2	-0.04	11	82%	-0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	17	60%	0.15	3	-0.06	9	89%	0.03
Andres Nocioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09	0.09	0.06	-0.00	-0.03	18	54%	0.13	1	-0.04	1	0%	-0.01
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	13	59%	0.14	2	-0.08	6	83%	0.02
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.01	0.02	9	65%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	0.04	20	44%	-0.07	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Tyrus Thomas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-0.01	8	17%	-0.10	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.5	29.0	14.8	27.0	1.7	37.5	137.7
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +32.3%

ATL +9.0%

CHI -4.4%

ATL +10.7%

ATL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	15.2	14.2	15.5	115.3	110.2	106.4
season	15.8	14.8		106.7	106.3
opponent	15.7	16.1		107.2	106.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.4	13.1	15.0	18.7	15.2
CHI	12.8	15.2	17.0	12.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Bibby	71	73	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.19	20	-15	35	15.2	15.3	-0.08	14.3	14.0	0.30
Joe Johnson	85	85	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.31	14	-9	23	15.0	16.2	-1.18	14.6	11.7	2.87
Al Horford	83	85	0.60	-0.10	0.69	0.27	11	-6	17	15.3	14.9	0.40	14.3	13.2	1.19
Marvin Williams	59	60	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.35	7	-2	9	16.6	13.1	3.49	14.1	14.2	-0.09
Zaza Pachulia	51	52	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.05	13	-8	21	14.0	16.5	-2.43	15.9	12.2	3.66
Maurice Evans	58	57	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.22	-5	10	-15	14.5	16.2	-1.64	13.2	15.5	-2.33
Othello Hunter	4	4	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	5	-5	14.5	15.2	-0.73	11.5	14.3	-2.80
Mario West	1	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	1.0	15.4	-14.35	6.0	14.3	-8.27
Ronald Murray	43	42	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	14	-23	15.6	14.9	0.71	14.7	13.8	0.93
Solomon Jones	15	13	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.06	-7	12	-19	16.0	15.1	0.94	10.9	14.7	-3.76
Acie Law	20	18	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.13	-17	22	-39	15.9	15.0	0.87	11.7	14.7	-3.02

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	47	47	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.38	16	-21	37	13.6	14.7	-1.05	16.9	13.6	3.29
Aaron Gray	38	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.12	3	-8	11	13.7	14.5	-0.82	13.0	16.7	-3.64
Andres Nocioni	64	64	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.31	3	-8	11	13.8	15.0	-1.20	15.6	14.4	1.21
Tyrus Thomas	44	43	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	4	-13	15.4	13.2	2.18	13.9	16.2	-2.35
Luol Deng	76	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.27	-1	-4	3	13.7	15.9	-2.22	15.1	15.4	-0.23
Joakim Noah	54	54	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.14	-13	8	-21	15.1	13.0	2.11	16.2	14.0	2.27
Ben Gordon	81	82	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.21	-13	8	-21	14.3	13.7	0.58	14.8	17.2	-2.37
Derrick Rose	86	86	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.34	-11	6	-17	14.2	14.4	-0.27	15.4	13.8	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.28,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.33,0.17,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 113, CHA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.38,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.2,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.1%
CLE 116, TOR 112	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.29,0.16,0.11,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.08,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0	93.9%
BOS 92, CHI 81	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.26,0.25,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.12,0.06,0.05,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	93.9%