NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	86		Excitement	5.6 [425]		MVP	Chris Morris (PHX): +5.8%
Phoenix Suns	73		Comeback	1.4 [246]		LVP	Tom Gugliotta (PHX): -16.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedric Henderson	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	12	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Wesley Person	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Shawn Kemp	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	12	64%	0.06	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Ryan Stack	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Ferry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.05	0.03	-0.01	10	38%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Derek Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Johnny Newman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brevin Knight	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	0.01	9	64%	0.07	5	-0.11	4	100%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	7	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.03	-0.01	10	57%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Gerald Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0.00	12	54%	0.00	1	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
George McCloud	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	6	36%	-0.01	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	13	42%	-0.07	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luc Longley	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	5	17%	-0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.06	-0.03	14	26%	-0.15	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.07	0.00	17	44%	-0.06	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	28.0	14.8	27.2	2.4	28.6	126.0
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +53.8%

PHX -5.7%

CLE +1.5%

PHX -4.0%

CLE +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	PHX	NBA	CLE	PHX	NBA
this game	15.8	17.0	15.8	97.7	83.0	99.6
season	16.3	15.3		97.3	102.7
opponent	15.9	16.2		101.3	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.1	17.2	16.3	16.8	15.8
PHX	16.9	19.6	16.4	15.2	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	65	65	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.05	20	-7	27	14.3	19.9	-5.62	16.8	17.4	-0.63
Cedric Henderson	69	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.04	19	-6	25	14.7	19.8	-5.14	16.9	17.4	-0.51
Shawn Kemp	59	58	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.03	17	-4	21	15.1	17.2	-2.10	17.3	16.3	1.01
Wesley Person	56	54	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.04	11	2	9	14.6	17.7	-3.12	16.4	17.9	-1.45
Vitaly Potapenko	60	64	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.04	10	3	7	15.7	15.8	-0.04	17.5	15.5	2.07
Danny Ferry	49	47	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	10	-7	16.4	15.0	1.37	15.8	18.3	-2.44
Derek Anderson	35	37	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	12	-11	17.5	14.6	2.86	17.6	16.5	1.04
Ryan Stack	8	7	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	17	-21	17.2	15.6	1.64	16.6	17.0	-0.43
Johnny Newman	19	19	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.07	-6	19	-25	19.8	14.7	5.14	17.4	16.9	0.51
Bob Sura	20	20	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	19	-25	20.7	14.3	6.39	17.9	16.7	1.21

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gerald Brown	19	20	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.08	10	-23	33	15.8	17.3	-1.50	19.5	14.6	4.90
Clifford Robinson	39	44	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-12	11	16.3	17.5	-1.18	16.9	14.6	2.34
Luc Longley	45	43	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.04	-11	-2	-9	18.0	15.8	2.21	15.7	15.8	-0.17
Chris Morris	56	55	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-10	7	16.7	17.4	-0.69	16.0	15.3	0.73
Danny Manning	60	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.17	-7	-6	-1	16.9	17.2	-0.31	15.9	15.4	0.54
Tom Gugliotta	74	72	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.05	-15	2	-17	17.3	15.2	2.08	15.1	18.8	-3.73
Jason Kidd	78	76	-0.59	0.09	-0.67	-0.06	-18	5	-23	17.2	15.4	1.77	15.5	17.5	-2.01
George McCloud	69	70	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.06	-20	7	-27	16.7	18.1	-1.39	14.6	20.2	-5.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 113, GSW 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	94.1%
MIA 103, WAS 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.15,0.07,0,0,0	93.5%
IND 99, LAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.45,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.09,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0	93.5%