NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	113		Excitement	5.5 [720]		MVP	Tony Parker (SAS): +18.4%
Golden State Warriors	100		Comeback	1.4 [308]		LVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): -9.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Parker	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.20	0.06	0.07	17	74%	0.21	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Cory Joseph	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Kawhi Leonard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.14	-0.00	0.09	11	76%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Manu Ginobili	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.01	17	49%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Matt Bonner	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.06	0.02	13	41%	0.06	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01
Aron Baynes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.07	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.01
Kyle Anderson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	12	37%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	17	72%	0.21	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.02
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.13	-0.03	0.05	12	79%	0.10	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	5	92%	0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Bogut	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.04	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Festus Ezeli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Rush	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.00	7	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	18	42%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.6	1.8	26.5	16.4	23.5	2.6	33.3	128.7
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +12.7%

GSW -3.5%

SAS +7.1%

SAS +31.1%

SAS +2.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	17.4	12.3	15.1	116.5	103.1	104.2
season	15.4	13.6		106.9	109.2
opponent	15.5	14.9		99.7	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.7	17.2	17.0	18.7	17.4
GSW	13.3	12.3	13.0	10.5	12.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Manu Ginobili	54	55	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.02	12	1	11	16.6	18.4	-1.77	11.4	13.4	-2.03
Tim Duncan	70	72	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	2	9	17.7	16.6	1.14	12.1	12.7	-0.54
Cory Joseph	37	38	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	4	5	17.5	17.3	0.16	13.7	11.4	2.35
Kawhi Leonard	70	70	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.05	9	4	5	17.9	16.2	1.70	12.4	12.0	0.44
Matt Bonner	46	46	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	7	-1	18.0	16.9	1.16	13.7	11.0	2.78
Danny Green	50	52	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	5	3	17.5	17.3	0.14	13.4	10.9	2.51
Tony Parker	64	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.07	5	8	-3	17.5	17.2	0.26	11.5	13.8	-2.29
Boris Diaw	47	47	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.06	8	5	3	17.1	17.7	-0.59	10.8	13.7	-2.85
Aron Baynes	27	25	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.08	2	11	-9	16.6	17.7	-1.14	12.7	12.1	0.54
Kyle Anderson	16	15	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	14	-15	15.2	17.9	-2.66	11.9	12.4	-0.49
Jeff Ayres	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	22.0	17.3	4.68	4.0	12.4	-8.36
Austin Daye	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	15	-17	22.0	17.3	4.68	4.0	12.4	-8.36

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shaun Livingston	22	23	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.08	5	-18	23	12.6	12.2	0.40	17.2	17.5	-0.31
Brandon Rush	6	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.01	-2	-11	9	17.7	11.9	5.74	18.0	17.4	0.62
Marreese Speights	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-12	11	10.5	12.9	-2.36	18.7	17.0	1.76
Festus Ezeli	22	22	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.02	-5	-8	3	12.4	12.2	0.17	14.9	18.2	-3.30
Leandro Barbosa	20	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.01	-6	-7	1	12.3	12.3	0.09	16.9	17.6	-0.65
Andre Iguodala	46	45	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.10	-3	-10	7	12.5	12.0	0.50	16.9	17.9	-0.98
Andrew Bogut	51	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.05	-7	-6	-1	13.1	11.4	1.65	17.9	16.9	0.97
Harrison Barnes	77	78	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.18	-5	-8	3	12.2	12.4	-0.15	17.9	15.3	2.67
Klay Thompson	80	79	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-6	-1	12.3	12.4	-0.09	17.4	17.4	-0.04
Draymond Green	65	66	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.04	-16	3	-19	11.6	13.6	-1.96	17.1	18.1	-0.96
Stephen Curry	72	70	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.03	-18	5	-23	12.2	12.6	-0.38	17.7	16.8	0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.36,0.46,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.02,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 105, UTA 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.53,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.39,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.08,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
SAS 113, GSW 102	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.59,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.33,0.23,0.16,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%
LAL 95, ATL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.11,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%