NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	94		Excitement	6.6 [503]		MVP	Thaddeus Young (PHI): +27.6%
Orlando Magic	105		Comeback	1.3 [836]		LVP	James Anderson (PHI): -22.1%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thaddeus Young	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.13	0.00	15	63%	0.28	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.05
Hollis Thompson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	6	58%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	14	57%	0.16	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Orton	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Carter-Williams	-0.04	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04	0.03	-0.07	0.00	21	52%	0.06	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.02
Lorenzo Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Davies	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Lavoy Allen	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	8	37%	-0.08	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
James Anderson	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.13	-0.08	0.01	9	22%	-0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.09	0.07	-0.00	7	79%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.02	0.11	-0.00	15	47%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.01	0.02	13	78%	0.17	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	3	62%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.02	15	59%	0.05	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	5	30%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Victor Oladipo	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	11	69%	0.17	8	-0.21	4	75%	-0.01
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	8	39%	-0.07	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	27.0	14.8	20.1	2.5	35.2	125.8
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +27.3%

ORL +4.9%

ORL +1.0%

ORL +13.5%

ORL +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	14.9	15.1	94.9	105.0	105.2
season	13.7	15.3		98.4	100.4
opponent	15.0	15.0		105.9	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	12.9	16.2	14.7	12.7	14.0
ORL	13.8	14.5	15.9	15.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hollis Thompson	37	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-7	3	16.4	12.6	3.84	16.1	14.2	1.83
Lorenzo Brown	17	17	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-11	11	15.1	13.8	1.31	14.8	14.9	-0.10
Thaddeus Young	58	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.13	-2	-9	7	14.4	13.6	0.80	15.0	14.8	0.21
Brandon Davies	32	35	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-7	3	15.1	13.5	1.53	15.6	14.5	1.11
Lavoy Allen	67	65	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-8	5	13.8	14.5	-0.65	14.2	16.3	-2.16
Daniel Orton	41	43	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	2	-15	13.1	14.7	-1.59	15.3	14.6	0.77
Michael Carter-Williams	82	83	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.11	-11	0	-11	13.8	15.1	-1.31	14.9	14.8	0.10
Evan Turner	87	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.28	-6	-5	-1	13.7	16.7	-3.09	14.8	15.6	-0.82
James Anderson	74	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	1	-13	13.3	16.3	-3.01	14.5	16.3	-1.83

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Victor Oladipo	90	88	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	2	7	14.4	19.5	-5.10	13.9	14.7	-0.78
Nikola Vucevic	83	82	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	2	7	14.8	15.6	-0.82	13.9	14.5	-0.53
Arron Afflalo	77	76	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	4	3	14.9	14.9	0.05	13.8	14.9	-1.09
Glen Davis	73	74	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.22	3	8	-5	15.3	14.0	1.30	13.3	16.3	-3.06
Maurice Harkless	30	31	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.08	7	4	3	14.9	14.9	0.03	15.9	13.2	2.68
E'Twaun Moore	61	59	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	8	-5	15.5	13.9	1.62	13.8	14.4	-0.66
Andrew Nicholson	33	32	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	3	5	15.2	14.8	0.36	15.4	13.4	2.03
Jameer Nelson	26	26	0.12	0.38	-0.25	-0.08	7	4	3	15.0	14.9	0.12	12.8	14.5	-1.61
Ronnie Price	9	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	11	-11	17.4	14.7	2.79	14.6	14.0	0.63
Jason Maxiell	11	10	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	9	-7	12.9	15.2	-2.25	16.1	13.8	2.30
Doron Lamb	7	7	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	11	-11	12.1	15.1	-2.98	15.6	13.9	1.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.75,0.78,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.71,0.78,0.86,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 83, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.8%
ATL 84, CHI 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.64,0.71,0.66,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.85,0.93,0.91,0.98,1	93.4%
MEM 103, BOS 113	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.95,0.91,0.99,1	93.3%