NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	103		Excitement	7.4 [378]		MVP	Gerald Green (BOS): +25.2%
Boston Celtics	113		Comeback	1.2 [1099]		LVP	Al Horford (BOS): -16.9%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
James Ennis III	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	69%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	4	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	9	68%	0.13	1	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Zach Randolph	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	13	53%	0.11	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03
Marc Gasol	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.00	0.04	20	57%	0.13	3	-0.12	6	83%	0.02
Troy Daniels	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarell Martin	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Harrison	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.07	-0.03	0.01	12	37%	-0.08	1	-0.02	8	50%	-0.04
Vince Carter	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.11	-0.05	0.00	10	23%	-0.13	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.13	0.11	-0.01	10	86%	0.33	2	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Avery Bradley	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.11	0.07	-0.00	17	62%	0.20	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Jae Crowder	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.11	0.07	0.01	9	85%	0.22	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.02	14	58%	0.17	3	-0.08	8	100%	0.06
Marcus Smart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.05	0.01	9	54%	0.09	2	-0.05	6	83%	-0.02
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Jerebko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	6	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.05	-0.01	14	39%	-0.04	5	-0.13	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.7	30.3	15.3	26.5	2.3	37.3	136.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +53.2%

BOS +9.1%

MEM -3.3%

MEM -11.5%

BOS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	BOS	NBA	MEM	BOS	NBA
this game	16.3	13.9	14.8	107.3	118.9	107.7
season	16.1	14.7		106.4	110.1
opponent	14.9	14.9		108.3	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	16.6	15.9	15.8	16.8	16.3
BOS	13.4	15.4	13.0	13.8	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarell Martin	14	15	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-7	4	15.9	16.3	-0.48	13.9	13.9	0.07
JaMychal Green	45	45	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-6	2	15.7	16.8	-1.14	14.1	13.7	0.45
James Ennis III	45	43	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-10	10	15.0	17.4	-2.43	14.6	13.2	1.38
Troy Daniels	40	40	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	0	-10	16.8	15.9	0.91	13.1	14.5	-1.38
Marc Gasol	77	75	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-7	-3	-4	16.5	15.5	0.93	14.1	13.0	1.04
Tony Allen	69	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-4	-2	16.9	14.6	2.33	13.7	14.4	-0.76
Vince Carter	45	45	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.14	-7	-3	-4	16.2	16.4	-0.22	14.1	13.7	0.41
Andrew Harrison	89	88	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.19	-7	-3	-4	16.2	16.7	-0.48	13.9	13.3	0.63
Zach Randolph	56	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.27	-6	-4	-2	16.6	15.8	0.81	13.4	14.6	-1.21

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Smart	55	56	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.17	16	-6	22	14.0	13.7	0.26	16.5	15.9	0.64
Gerald Green	36	35	0.45	0.05	0.39	0.09	12	-2	14	13.3	14.2	-0.96	18.5	15.0	3.58
Kelly Olynyk	33	32	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	0	10	14.2	13.7	0.52	17.8	15.5	2.31
Avery Bradley	69	71	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.16	5	5	0	13.5	14.8	-1.34	15.3	19.0	-3.64
Al Horford	68	69	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.17	2	8	-6	14.5	12.3	2.15	15.5	18.2	-2.66
Isaiah Thomas	67	68	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.07	3	7	-4	14.0	13.5	0.53	16.9	14.7	2.15
Amir Johnson	51	52	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.03	4	6	-2	13.4	14.5	-1.08	16.1	16.5	-0.34
Jae Crowder	64	65	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.21	-3	13	-16	14.1	13.3	0.82	15.2	18.6	-3.41
Tyler Zeller	12	11	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.10	0	10	-10	14.7	13.8	0.91	17.1	16.2	0.93
Jonas Jerebko	11	12	0.03	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	9	-8	12.9	14.0	-1.09	16.1	16.3	-0.21
Jaylen Brown	9	9	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.02	0	10	-10	12.4	14.0	-1.58	16.9	16.2	0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.74,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.68,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.82,0.78,0.74,0.66,0.76,0.73,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.81,0.95,0.91,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 111, MIL 116	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.65,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.82,0.74,0.77,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.78,0.75,0.76,0.85,0.87,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.78,0.9,0.98,1	94.0%
ORL 83, SAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.68,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.78,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.9,0.99,1,1,1	93.9%
ATL 96, CLE 103	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.78,0.68,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.6,0.7,0.66,0.82,0.76,0.88,0.78,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	93.5%